Originally Posted by Half Smoke
but I found a different one that has 2 years of dataOriginally Posted by AxelWolf
underdogs went 52-44 - 54% wins - a bet on all of these pre-season dogs would have realized a r.o.i. of 3.36%
this year I tracked pre-season dogs as going 27-21
I think it's a pretty fair statement to make that as far as the pre-season goes - the betting public really doesn't have a clue
I don't even think they know what % of the game the teams will play their starters - and as far as predicting the performance of the 2nd string - no chance at all to do that effectively - forget about it
and that is obviously not the case for later during the season
there were some amusing results:
week 1 Carolina was favored by 3 points over the Jets - they lost 27-0
the 49ers were favored by 4 over the Raiders - they lost 34-7
in week 2 the Texans were favored by 2 over the Marlins - they lost 28-3__________________(-:\
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