Originally Posted by AxelWolf View Post

Just one statement/post alone that he has made is enough for me and many others to believe he is full of s***.

There have been so many of those, but let's just take a look at this one/.... He claims to have 50 hands of black hands of blackjack in a row. Sure he was able to weasel his way out of that statement with Mike by pointing out he used the the word some after the word 50. But, we all know damn well exactly what he was saying and what he meant. How do we know 50 some didn't mean above 50. I mean was it maybe 45, 46 47 48 49 in a row?

You can go back and look at a post where he claims he can do just about every known table games AP move. Shuffle tracking, Ace sequencing, card steering, Counting, Edge sorting, or whatever the f*** he was claiming. I don't remember how many or exactly what, it's probably just the more well-known AP moves that he read or heard about and claimed it.

I do remember him telling a story about how he was invited back to a casino or some nonsense after being kicked out/backed off. He claimed he made some type of nonsense promise to the manager/host or whomever, that he would no longer engage in any type of +Ev shenanigans or whatever. I don't remember exactly what the deal was that he claimed. I just remember reading it and saying what the f*** is this nonsense b*******. And, if that's the case and he's been lying to us about not engaging in that type of stuff anymore. The dude has basically said that he doesn't need Advantage to play to win he just needs to know how to read shoes and whatnot. I'm not going to go back and search at this point, I know what he said, I know what he meant, I know what he was saying.
This is interesting, Axelwolf. To me the 50 straight winning blackjack hands barely registers. The reason is that it is just so preposterous he might just as well of said he flaps his arms and flew to Mars. Same chance. Lots of 'gamblers' and that is what Mdawg is, mis-remember how many of something occurred in a row, thinking they saw something or more of something than they actually did. Perfect example is the late Alan M and his 18 y.o. in a row claim. Usually (but not all cases) this is just mis-remembering or selective memory. I just tend to dismiss such claims.

But the being re-instated at casinos that had previously banned you, is one on my list too. Players just don't talk your way out of this by promising not to play at an advantage any more. Now earlier in my career I did talk my way out of a backoff, as it was happening. First you have to get the pit critter taking action to tell you that you are being backed off because of card counting or advantage play and they rarely do that. Usually they just say something very vague like "management decision" or "too good for us".

So in my case the guy did say something about card counting, some reference, I forget just what. So, I immediately fired back, with "I don't count cards, that doesn't work. I parlay my wagers up on a winning streak" (something many losing players do). he thought about it a little and said "Ok, but I am watching you". The very next time I played with that pit guy he backed me off again and said "and don't try to tell me you are not counting". My conclusion and lesson learned was even if you can talk your way out of a back off or barring, it buys you almost nothing. It is not like they are going to forget or wipe the slate clean. You will be on a very short leash and just made yourself more memorable. Ever since then, when backed off, I just exit quickly and quietly drawing as little attention as possible. You stay away for a period and then see if he remembers you.

Anyway, I went off into my own experience, sorry for that. But yeah Mdawg's claim of talking the casino into re-insting him was one big red flag for me.

Another was the 'loss rebate comment'. Mdawg has flip fops and changed among all sorts of things he has done that could explain his winning over the years. One was loss rebates. BUT only after Axelwolf had brought up loss rebates. Well guess what loss rebates does not explain a player claiming to win 90-95% of his session like this guy does,. The advantage from Loss rebates kicks in when you actual lose.

Like Axewolf said there have been so many red flags, some minor, some major about his claims. Of course another was his $100-$5000 bet spread playing DD blackjack on the strip for 10 straight hours.

And he followed that up with some bizarre claim that he is rainman or rainman-like and remembers every card.

And then you go big picture. The big picture is that this showed up 5 years ago sept 2018. The totality of his claims are that he has won millions, playing rated, while being comped 200-250 nights a year in high end suites and other high end comps. THAT is just not how Las Vegas or the casino industry works. If you win, playing +EV and win long-term, you have to play unrated and attempt to hide it. It is the losing players that are well comped like Mdawg claims. And nothing he says, nor any of the attacks of everyone who dares challenge anything, including real AP's like Axelwolf changes that. It is a now 5 year fiction-fantasy story. Some of it enjoyable to read and fun to pretend, but it just isn't real, and that is what he is claiming.