Thank God I didn't take SMU -- a decision I made based on weather because I think SMU is as good as or better than Penn State. A first-year starting QB playing on the road in his first 20-degree game is just too much of an albatross for me to have taken SMU.

Anyway, all of that is neither here nor there.

What I am posting about is the old college football stat analysis that says if two int-return TDs occur against you in a game, you have....well, if one occurs, you have about a 12% chance of covering. If two, then you have a 12% of 12% chance. So you are down to SMU having a roughly 1.44% chance of covering unless a similar play happens the other way. These numbers are dated, as of 20 years ago or thereabouts, but things are not much different today.

It'll be interesting to see if SMU can make a run at them with its 1 1/2 percent chance of covering.