Originally Posted by Alan Mendelson View Post
kewl you just don't understand? This is not about a bag with 36 balls or any combination of 11 dice with a 2.

This is about TWO DICE and we know there is a 2 on at least one of them.

And the question is what would it take for us to have 2-2 showing on both dice? Really -- in plain, simple English that's the question.

And if we have 2 on one die, the other die in the problem has a 1/6 chance of also being a two.

That's all this question asked. You guys got all wrapped up in your math and statistics and probabilities and forgot to look at the simple question that has a simple answer.

And as proof I asked the WOV forum to show videos of your thought process with two dice. And there it was for everyone to see how you compounded the question and came up with the wrong answer.

Yes, tell the Wizard he's wrong too.
I encourage you to go ahead and bet real money on your believe that it is 1/6.

Roll the dice and count the results. It might come as a shock to you, but if you do that you will actually find out empirically that the odds are indeed 1/11.
Then post here your thoughts.