Originally Posted by Alan Mendelson View Post
I am glad you wrote this because this is the essence of our disagreement.

I don't look at the "big picture." I look at each session. If I can leave the casino each time with a win, even a small win, I will be a happy camper.

I used to look at it "the long way" and kept pounding the keys for those royals. So many of you APs including Frank told me the royals will come and my drought of 170-thousand hands was normal. But it was an expensive drought. I would have been better off during that entire time just taking the smaller wins and going home.
There's nothing wrong with this approach. If it gives you more enjoyment that is great.

Originally Posted by Alan Mendelson View Post
And Arc, I don't want "the ER of the game over time." I want better. And leaving with a net win, even a small win, over more sessions will allow me to beat the ER.

Swallow hard now Arc: you can beat the math by playing smarter.
This is where we have the problem. You cannot beat the math but that doesn't mean you might not win. Results form a bell curve. Some playing your method could have results better than the ER, some might even stay ahead for a long time. Others will do worse than the ER, some of those will do much worse. You have no control over whether you will end up in the first group or the second. Sorry, but that is a fact.