Originally Posted by redietz View Post
I thought the RS analogy was pretty good. On occasion, with odds that can be figured depending on whether it's pre-flop and so on, 2/7 can beat AA. It's a solved game, like video poker, so all the same arguments and obfuscations of probability apply. The fact 2/7 sometimes wins vs. AA is directly analogous to people winning for 10,000 hands versus 98% vp. You can claim stopping when ahead after your 2/7 beats the AA is the key to winning, for example. Well, that's true enough, unless you go back to the poker table and try to do it again. It's all probability. There isn't one probability for poker and another for video poker.
Of all the nonsensical posts you've ever made this one tops it.