Originally Posted by Mission146 View Post
Originally Posted by Alan Mendelson View Post

So Singer has a 74% chance to win the first session. What changes in the second session, and in the third, and in the fourth....?
Nothing. I'm saying as long as each individual session has that probability, then he is more than 50% likely to win eight (or more) out of ten sessions.

That was also 74.2%, to be clear. At 74% exactly he would be less than 50% likely to win eight (or more) of ten sessions.
If nothing changes and he's 74.2% to win the first session, then he's 74.2% to win the second session and the third and the fourth. So... doesn't that mean he's 74.2% to win it all?

Let's use coin flips. LOL

If Rob has the skill to flip 74 out of 100 coins as heads shouldn't that skill be the same in each session?

Let me use an AP example:

If an AP says he's playing a game that gives him a 100.7% return on the first hand plsyed, doesn't he have the same EV on the second hand and the third and the fourth....?