Originally Posted by tableplay View Post
Originally Posted by Rob.Singer View Post
Originally Posted by tableplay View Post

Ok Ron, let's do a little simple math here:
So 1/4th of your time is on BP (61% chance of converting a bankroll of $55,000 to $57,500) and 3/4ths of the time is spent on other negative EV games:

1) 1/4*.61+3/4x=.85 (85% is your overall "session" success rate)

2) x=.93 or 93%

So on the other -EV games you would have to have a 93% chance of converting 55000 to 57500 in order for your overall "session" success rate to be 85% - but there is no such negative EV game that would allow a 93% chance. I don't care what sort of denominational switching you do it's impossible unless some of the 3/4ths component of your play was on positive expectation VP games (which, by your own admission didn't happen - it was all -EV play).
Again you're misrepresenting because you have an agenda instead of the facts. All you're doing is taking the easy path that says "+EV means you'll likely win and -EV means you'll likely lose". If you want to do this correctly you'd be asking questions rather than loosely postulating theory.
So find a -EV VP game(s) that let's you win 93% of your "sessions" Ron - you can do whatever denominational switching you like. As illustrated in the example above (in response to unowme's Martingale post), all you do is incur greater risk (of losing your entire bankroll) when you increase bet size in order to increase the probability of achieving your "session" win goal. Layout a VP (theme and paytable) and denomination template to illustrate how this is achieved. That is the question I am asking - what is the template to do this with -EV games ? Please don't create a moving target by adding in mailers or free play. It's the naked -EV games and their appropriate denominations - the magic template that allows this, that I am requesting.
You don’t have to worry about Rob adding mailers and free play. He’s never done it and never will.