Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
Originally Posted by redietz View Post
Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
In Montana, for the past couple weeks we had been averaging 1 positive for every 430 coronavirus tests. Thats less than a quarter percent. But for the past few days we have a string of 2,857 tests without a single positive.

Redietz, Montana peaked in early April averaging 16 new cases per day. Since reopening on April 24, we have been averaging just 1.17 new cases per day. And that is with the number of tests per day doubling since mid April.

Your prediction of the peak being in June or July is not going to happen.


It's June 30, and everything has played out exactly as it figured to play out.

What's interesting is that I PM'ed mickey this way back when as I was concerned because he is highly vulnerable. So he decided to post this from the PM, without asking me did I care, as an example of something I'd gotten wrong.

I was waiting for mickey to mention that maybe I was right about Montana. But that kind of thing seems to be beyond him these days.
Since you are still predicting doomsday for Montana I'll go over the numbers for you. In March we had 204 cases, April 247, may just 64. Now for June we spiked up to 442 new cases. That looks awful bad don't it redietz?

Except, for March/April/May we had 42,000 CV tests. In June we had 43,000 tests. So testing spiked up to 3X what it was in March/April/May.

The spike is concentrated in 3 counties out of 56, Yellowstone, Gallatin and Big Horn. Yellowstone is the most populated county, Gallatin is the gateway to Yellowstone Park with an international airport, Big Horn is where the Crow Indian Reservation is and they didn't have any cases then all of a sudden in June the explode to 80 cases. My home county has had only 33 cases in almost 4 months with only 4 active cases with no hospitalizations.

In almost 4 months Montana has only 105 hospitalizations. Only 14 hospitalizations are active now. We've had 22 deaths.

We didn't have a spike in deaths in June as there were only 5.

I seen an interesting stat yesterday. Of the 130,000 deaths only 160 have been for those under the age of 25. So it's a matter of who is catching the virus and are the old people staying away from them? In Montana, with a population estimated in 2019 at 1 million, the old people are doing a pretty good job of quarantining and social distancing as we have had only 22 deaths in almost 4 months.

On another note, I've been pretty active the last two months since we reopened. I've traveled the entire state. Tourism is way down this year. I don't see the motorcycles and RV's on the roads in numbers like years past. The RV parks are normally packed this time of year but this year they are less than half full. A lot of restaurants are still closed. Some of the Mom & Pop seasonal hotels on Hwy. 2 along the way to Glacier Park didn't open this year.
LOL. And the Montana peak is when?

It's okay, mickey. You're like the Fonz. You can't quite get the "I was wrong" out of the back of your throat. I imagine it's even harder to say, "Dietz was right; I was wrong." If you practice whispering in front of a mirror, that might help.