Originally Posted by
wasilla
Originally Posted by
redietz
In gross numbers, California was always going to accrue a boatload -- the state has 40 million people. Texas was always going to accrue a lot.
I was upset with CDC early on because they did lie to prevent mask hoarding. I wound up following their guidelines and wearing gloves (remember touching as a big deal?) and no mask when I flew to LV. At that same time, international doctors, including the South Korea infectious disease head, were saying to wear masks. So I followed CDC instead of international and was really perturbed afterwards. My girlfriend had said I should be following the international protocols rather than U.S. and I didn't listen.
Mcap, what do you mean by flattening the curve being a "lie?"
I too am unhappy with the CDC's and other expert's initial position on masks, but I kind of understand them. There was a mask shortage and probably still is, so I can see prioritizing masks for first responders, health care workers, higher risk occupations and high risk populations. Before the rate of asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic transmission was recognized, I heard a a number of experts suggest that symptomatic people should stay home rather than rely on masks to protect people from them. Unfortunately they didn't explain themselves very well. Now it looks like masks not only protect other people, but offer protection for the wearers as well.
Despite prior messaging misfires, it's currently clear that masks are effective in reducing covid transmission. I've heard this from Trump himself way back in the coronavirus briefing days. The Trump campaign has been selling logo masks for weeks, and Trump himself has been photographed wearing a mask. I've traveled extensively, including during prior pandemics, and have noticed that mask wearing countries have been faring better than we are. I doubt there is more than 10% of the US public that doesn't recognize that masks are at least partially effective.
I want to thank you for bothering to post on this here. I don't follow this enough to support your claim that you've been right all along or every step of the way. I am convinced that you recognized the direction we were headed very early on. I'm hoping for an early vaccine, improved treatments, and reduced transmission rates from widespread mask use. I suspect that you are hoping for the same.
Thanks, wasilla. It's worse than I thought it would be, and that's saying something. I pivoted my blog to the pandemic when I had to figure out a Las Vegas trip back in January/February. As to the predicting what would happen and numbers, all of the blog entries are dated and record my day-to-day with this. So you can check my predictions and attitude over a course of five months as this unfolded.
I'll post a link to the most read of the entries:
https://theskepticalgambler.blogspot...ouncement.html
Probably most popular due to the song at the end. By clicking on the right side of the blog, you can access all of the entries back to the beginning. Judge for yourself if I got things right.
I say it about a dozen times in various entries, but I grew up with the Apollo program. Everyone, literally, followed science, respected science, knew science back then. This current state of conspiracy weirdness tinged with civilians thinking they're more expert than experts is, I suspect, partly a result of two decades of internet searches, which are confirmation bias tools of the highest order. If you plug in, "Coronavirus is a hoax," and that's what you prefer to believe, you'll find plenty of copy that supports you. There's a strange insulation and narcissism to it. If you want to believe something strongly, you can successfully prove to yourself that you're right with just a few clicks. And find like-minded individuals.