Dan Druff's 2020 MLB picks

[Dan Druff]

That Pittsburgh under looked great -- 2-2 after 6. But 4 in the 7th and 1 in the 8th killed it.

Giants will avenge their embarrassing blowing of a 5-run lead in the 9th.

Imagine if you had a bet on that game last night and were up 7-2 in the 9th and lost?

Anyway, I like today's bet on them, even though the line has been bet down a lot.

San Francisco (Gausman) +127 vs. Oakland (Manaea)

[Dan Druff]

Major screw job on SF, was up 6-3 in the 9th, and lost. Horrible managing.

Two picks today:

KC (Bubic) +150 at Minnesota (Wisler)

Arizona (Gallen) -115 vs. Oakland (Bassitt)

[Dan Druff]

Split 'em, with Arizona winning.

Minnesota (Hill) vs. Milwaukee (B. Anderson) - Over 9 -125

[Dan Druff]

Won that over on Wednesday.

Today:

Cleveland (McKenzie) vs. Detroit (Boyd) - Under 9.5 -120

[Dan Druff]

Won yesterday

Today:

Oakland (Montas) vs. Angels (Bundy) - Under 8.5 +100

[Dan Druff]

Lost by 0.5 points in extras. Sad!

Cleveland (Bieber) -1.5 +125 vs. Minnesota (Hill)

Fading Rich Hill again, and Bieber of the 1.11 ERA is likely the man to win by more than 1.

[Dan Druff]

Won yesterday.

Today I'm doing:

Minnesota (Berrios) -107 at Cleveland (Clevinger)

[Dan Druff]

Lost the Min/Cle pick on Wednesday.

Today:

Remember when F. Yu Darvish was an auto-fade?

Somehow he's got an ERA of 1.70 and a WHIP under 1.00 this year.

I'm actually backing him on the road against Bauer.

Cubs (F Yu) -107 vs Cincinnati (Bauer) (game 1 of DH)


Also here's an under:

Pittsburgh (Brubaker) at Milwaukee (Brett Anderson) - Under 9 -115

[Dan Druff]

Easily won the Cubs.

Pittsburgh under was 4-3 in the bottom of the 8th/2 out, but lost due to horrible relief pitching.

Two unders, one soon, one in awhile.

Soon:

Minnesota (Maeda) at Detroit (Mize) - Under 8.5 -110

Later:

Arizona (Clarke) vs. San Francisco (Cueto) - Under 9.5 -115

[Dan Druff]

2-0 on Sunday.

Tonight:

Dodgers (Urias) vs. Arizona (Alex Young) - Under 8.5 +100

[Dan Druff]

Ouch. 6-1 in the 9th, 2 out, nobody on. Walk, HR, under loses by 0.5

Today:

This one feels weird, but go with it:

Mets (Wacha) at Baltimore (Means) - Under 10 -110

[Dan Druff]

Happened again. The pick was in good shape until the bullpens blew p in the 8th and 9th. Went from a likely winner to losing by 3.

Here's one for the morning. 10:35am PT

Pittsburgh (Brubaker) +139 vs. Cubs (Mills)

Yes, I realize it's Pittsburgh. They actually have the better pitcher going today. Brubaker has decent stuff, and has pitched fairly well (6 K in each of his past 2 starts), and Mills is a stopgap option for the Cubs. Mills has given up 17 ER in the past 19.2 innings, over the past 4 starts.

[Dan Druff]

Pittsburgh wins!

Let's talk about the Padres/Angels game tonight.

"Mike Clevinger to the Padres" didn't make me happy as a Dodgers fan, but I'm still rooting for him today, as I'm firing on the under. Andrew Heaney, despite overall mediocre numbers, threw a great outing last time. Yes, it was against the awful Mariners, but still... he struck out 10 and dominated.

While I've lost my last two unders, note that both times I got the starting pitching correct (it was on pace to win entering the 8th in each game). This one looks like an under to me.

4:10pm PT

Angels (Heaney) vs San Diego (Clevinger) - Under 8.5 -110

[Dan Druff]

Won 'em both yesterday, fairly easily.
Here's a pick which seems weird, but there's value in it:

Miami (P. Lopez) +110 at Tampa (J. Fleming)

Yes, I'm taking Miami +110 against a 26-12 team, on the road.

Why?

This is why

[Dan Druff]

Close, but lost 5-4, including a blown 1st/2nd with nobody out in the 9th.

Are you tired of unders? Are you looking to be a public stooge and take overs?

Guess what, today is your day.

Here's a good over.

Houston has Brandon Bielak going, who was running along just fine, but has been hammered in his past two starts, for a combined 10 earned runs in just 2 innings pitched.

On the other side, the Angels' Griffin Canning pitched well last time out, but had persistent command issues, and really only had that one good outing out of his past 5 appearances.

What's the over line? Just a paltry 7.5 runs.

I like it, even in 7 innings.

Houston (Bielak) at Angels (Canning) - GAME 1 of doubleheader, Over 7.5 -117


BTW, it's 110 degrees in Anaheim today. This game starts at 4pm, long before a cooldown. Think the pitchers will have an easy time?

[Dan Druff]

Easily won that Houston over (by 11.5 runs!!!)

Here's two today:

San Francisco (Gausman) -114 vs. Arizona (Gallen)
Yankees (Montgomery) +110 at Toronto (Ryu)

[Dan Druff]

Okay, I'm gonna take a chance on the Yankees again. Maybe they won't blow a late 6-2 lead this time by allowing 10 runs in an inning this time.

SF won yesterday, so I split.

Yankees (Happ) -106 at Toronto (Walker)

[Dan Druff]

Time to fade Alec Mills of the Cubs again. Also, Tyler Mahle has looked fairly solid his last few times out.

Cincinnati -111 (Mahle) at Cubs (Mills)

[Dan Druff]

One more.

Andrew Heaney and Lance Lynn are going two different directions.

Last 2 starts:

Heaney 14.2 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 4 BB
Lynn 12 IP, 9 ER, 13 H, 5 BB

Angels (Heaney) - 126 at Texas (Lynn)

[Dan Druff]

0-3 yesterday, and never led in any. Ouch!!

Tonight here's one starting soon:

Dodgers (Kershaw) at Arizona (Clarke) - Over 9 -120 (you can get -115 on Bovada)