No states have flipped yet from the 2016 election. Biden needed a plus 38 electoral votes to get to 270. I had assumed he would get Wisconsin (10) and Michigan (16). If that occurred he would need 12 more votes. Arizona is only 11 votes. Biden would be one vote short. Things are really looking like Pennsylvania will determine the election. The Philadelphia area has shut down counting mail in ballots. Up to 275,000. Whatever numbers we hear from PA will be skewed due to these ballots.

Just throwing out a potential scenario. Yes, I am assuming Minnesota and Nevada go blue (as in 2016).