Alan, when you have a 2-card draw you have 2 chances to draw the ace. That gives you a 2/47 chance.

Now, since Alan appears to want people to lose more money playing VP, let me once again point out that giving up those credits on the vast majority of Singer special plays actually REDUCES the chances of hitting a win goal. That Alan allow Singer's lies to continue unchallenged says he is willing to have the people that read his forum believe a lie. Since this has been pointed out multiple times in the past it clearly calls Alan's ethics into question.

Now, as for Singer ... just look at all his posts. On one hand he claims to hit one big winner after another. Then, he claims he doesn't play very often as that would indicate an addicted APer. When you combine his lack of play with fantastic claims of winning there's only two possibilities. Either he's the luckiest person in the Universe or he's a lying sack of bovine excrement. Alan appears to be complete oblivious to these facts.