Originally Posted by arcimede$ View Post
What Dancer is talking about in this article is the bell curve of yearly returns. Results vary over time which forms a probability distribution. The highest probability is right in the middle. When results fall on the high side of the bell curve we call this lucky. When they fall on the low side we call this unlucky. But is luck really involved? Generally, we will find that all the results are within the expected probability distribution curve (computed based on the games played and strategy used). Hence, the results are NOT really either good or bad luck. They are completely normal.

And this gets us back to Singer. By trying to claim that luck can somehow be taken advantage of through a betting strategy is completely dishonest. It is a proven lie. As long as Alan allows Singer's lies to potentially influence the readers of this forum he is allowing them to be led astray. Sorry Alan, that is a fact. You may think you are just "reporting" but that ship has long sailed. You are now part of the problem. Would you debate the benefits of responding to Nigerian emails asking for money? Would you allow the person sending those emails to have a voice here? I certainly hope not. QED.
I sent money--they sent me a Nigerian. Now what do I do??