Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
MDawg, here's the problem with your bets:

Everyone knows that you will only go through with the bet if you can beat them, so it's a negative freeroll for them. Either you'll be able to show the proof and collect $250k from them, or you won't, and you will find a way to back out of it, once it comes to putting up the money. So their only upside is proving an anonymous forum guy wrong, and their downside is losing 250k! Not a good deal!

That's the problem with prohibitively large "I can prove this to you" bets. The other side is always afraid to risk the money, knowing that there's zero chance you'll actually put up the money if on the losing end, so they become afraid to make the bet.

I'll give you an example.

Let's say I came out here and announced that I text with Donald Trump at least once per week. Most people here wouldn't believe me.

Let's say I offered to a $250k bet that I could prove Donald Trump texts me a minimum of once per week.

I doubt anyone would take such a bet, knowing I'd only be putting up $250k if I could really prove I texted with Trump!

Does this mean I text with Trump? Obviously not. It just means that I'm challenging people to bet a huge sum of money over a fact which only I know is true or not.


This is why I am proposing to drop all of the betting nonsense, and simply meet up and see the proof. This will end the controversy both here and on WoV once and for all.

Will you do this?
FYI MDawg made it very clear regarding the 250k stock trade bet that he would prove the trades were real, but not that the trades/money funds, or however you want to put it, is his.