Originally Posted by
arcimede$
Alan, what you just posted is nonsense. If you can change your results by some mechanism (in this case win goals) then you have changed the odds. What the odds tell us is the likelihood of winning. Hence, if you win more using some technique you have changed the odds. No ifs, ands or buts about it.
You are trying to wordsmith your away around the fact I have presented a proof that no betting system can change the ER (odds). Sorry, no intelligent person will fall for your silly narrative. The fact is win goals do not increase your results over time. That has been proven. Hence, as I said, your comment is nothing but BS.
As for your ladies ... they probably moved to another bank of machines and kept playing. I see this all the time. As soon as a person hits a winner they believe the machine will go cold. Hence, they cash out. They just move to another machine as I see the same folks come back later on.
Win goals do nothing to change a person's results over any fixed number of hands. Sorry. (And yes, I have simulated this as well)