The problem that you are having -- and why this has gone on for what now must be hundreds of posts on the Internet -- comes down to this, and it really is a simple difference:

I use ER or expected return to be based on the pay table of the game.
You apparently use ER or expected return to be based on how the player plays the game.

However, I use how the player plays the game to be the actual return and not the expected return.

I would also use ER to be theoretical because it is "expected." I would use "actual return" to be real since it is what actually happened when play is completed.

So if you would start to think that how the player plays the game as actual return instead of expected return you would stop saying that win/loss goals would be an attempt to change the ER of games.

I think several of us have said this to you many, many times: Using win/loss goals does NOT change the expected return of any game.

Now, if you don't want to accept these definitions and if you want to persist using your own definitions, we could turn this into a marathon that will continue until both of us are either too old to type or that great black hole finally swallows up the Earth.