I'll assume I'm bad at communicating here because well I am bad at communicating, so let me clarify.
I agree that there is likely an increase in deaths. I just don't see how it can be assigned to the vaccine or other factors. Or I suppose you're saying it can be assigned to everything BUT covid. (well maybe a few exceptions - not sure) You said this is true because so few people under 40 die of covid that it HAS to be covid.
I'm saying that because the death-rate in that age-bracket is so low to begin with, that covid deaths will have an outsized effect on the death-rate overall.
BTW I don't disagree that the lockdowns etc didn't have unintended negative consequences. I don't think wearing a mask is that torturous even if annoying AF. My ancestors went through far more. I think America is basically soft AF.