Originally Posted by
redietz
I honestly don't know anyone who beat MLB convincingly over the long haul. The only people who've won have committed to "bulk betting" for whatever reason in a particular season and pounded an angle due to rule changes. For example, this season, with the DH in the NL now, some folks decided that the NL totals were moved too high, so they tackled the Unders. I didn't do it, but they made a fortune. Right now I think the totals have shifted too low, so if anything (given that Unders are 45 games above .500), I'd take the Overs for totals of less than 10 for awhile. In the NL, I think that'll show a profit for the next few weeks.
Hockey I know nothing about.
There are savants in college hoops and college football who really know what they are doing, but we're not talking a lot of people -- maybe a dozen in each. College hoops is probably the sport that can be beaten most. But by the end of the college hoops season, the numbers are razor sharp. They move a lot, though, so middles-shooting is a real opportunity late in the year if you have a handle on where the bigger money is coming from.