Originally Posted by
Seedvalue
Originally Posted by
accountinquestion
I believe that heat records will continually be broken at a rate higher than 1980-2000. Probably the same as last 20 years but I don't really study these things because they're not important. I have little clue how this plays out only that temperatures go up, up, up and things didn't evolve for those temperatures. I also know we're going to have severe water shortages.
I guess I'd bet that the temperatures in the next 20 years will have broke records prior to 2000 pretty much constantly (well within reason). This demonstrates that Earth heating is not some few year anomaly.
TBH betting on forums and over the course of 20 years and all that is stupid. Wonder what the rate of online bets is and how often people follow through with them.
I am not sure the temperature will get us, it'll also be lack of rain.
No one has studied at what temperature things die etc. It just can't reasonably be done. Like a big biosphere thing where temperature is controlled? Anyway for various reasons that isn't happening so we just don't know.
This I why I’m suggesting some sort of irrevocable trust structure with the bet. Something that would be concrete and not run through a website owner or some random.
Will this temperature increases result in famine, and death here in the United States or another similar country?
How will are life be disrupted ? Will the temperature increase result in a significant drop in GDP ? Will my beach house be under water I mean it’s only a few steps away from the sand.
The fact that it could be structured in a trust doesn't make it more appealing. BTW I was kidding about the 100 million if it wasn't abundantly clear. I'm not broke but far far from rich. Regardless, even if what I said was true, a trust etc has so many issues with it. I mean the money clearly has to be invested during this time leading up to the bet or inflation will kill the results and many other issues. If you want to help out your swinger kids then I'd suggest just investing normally.
I'd say there is a good chance your house will be screwed. It'll be screwed far before it is "under water". When the ocean is lapping against the foundation then you'll probably need to give it up. I mean we agree ice melts at higher temperatures, right? That is one of the easier ones. They don't quite understand the weather patterns that will lead to the polar caps melting but they can fairly easily calculate the volume the seas will rise when it does happen. And it most assuredly will, unfortunately.
Not only the above but lets think about this for a brief second. If there was significant famine in the US and I won the bet, do you think that would be a wise use of my progeny's inheritence? However, I have no kids so why would I ever want to tie up capital for such a pursuit regardless? Even then the bet makes little sense. World is fucked - here is your worthless money to buy grains. Hope the rest of civil infrastructure is still in place to execute this bet. lol
At the end of the day there is never ever something I wish I was more wrong about. That doesn't mean I'll watch some self-selective crap videos to reassure myself.
Oh famine in the US. Yes, it seems very unlikely that it will affect us as much as third world countries. However, a lot of low-lying places will be underwater and other places will have fucked weather patterns. All this need to move about will cause immigration issues all over. People will be moving around and more crowded. Resources will dwindle as there is less to go around. This leads to desperate men. Anyway it will be interesting but not pretty. The level of depression as it starts to sink in is largely unfathomable.
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