Originally Posted by
mickeycrimm
The topic of this thread is sportsbetting
Mickey given the final blow you delivered to Redietz it took some creative trolling to resurrect him from that long cold forum nap. He knows that his 10-12% bullshit is EV and based on underlying opinions and yadda yadda. All I can do is proffer myself as a strawman for Redietz to come back and swing at.
However I wanted to add about why EV could be useful in sports betting. When I screwed with it, we used a version of Kelly (to make sure we were underrolled and destined to fail w/o lightning in a bottle) to choose betting sizes. I don't recall Kelly formula ATM but I'm pretty sure something akin EV is needed.