Originally Posted by
accountinquestion
Mickey given the final blow you delivered to Redietz it took some creative trolling to resurrect him from that long cold forum nap. He knows that his 10-12% bullshit is EV and based on underlying opinions and yadda yadda. All I can do is proffer myself as a strawman for Redietz to come back and swing at.
However I wanted to add about why EV could be useful in sports betting. When I screwed with it, we used a version of Kelly (to make sure we were underrolled and destined to fail w/o lightning in a bottle) to choose betting sizes. I don't recall Kelly formula ATM but I'm pretty sure something akin EV is needed.
You might try actually quoting the actual page being discussed. It states "our modus operandi" is a 10-12% return on investment over a four month period. It DOES NOT state that is the "prediction."
It CERTAINLY DOES NOT state that is the "EV."
In fact, for those unfamiliar with the phrase, "modus operandi" means "manner of working." As such, it is the antithesis of an exact calculation or prediction. And, for those unfamiliar with the word, "antithesis" means the opposite of.
I expect something akin to eighth grade reading skills from mickey and account. "Akin," for mickey and account's erudition, means "of similar character."
And, finally, for mickey and account's benefit, "erudition" means "showing knowledge; scholarship."