Originally Posted by AxelWolf View Post
I would love to know the average number of times this situation comes up per season. I would like to know the longest losing streak for this bet, and how many successful seasons vs non-successful seasons. I'm definitely going to use it in the upcoming NFL season when they ramp up the bonus offers.
yeah well here is another one concerning baseball. I believe the data is over 3 or 4 seasons, which is a smaller number, but baseball plays many more games so an equally large sample size. So the angle is that away underdog baseball teams playing division opponents, while losing more games than they win, have a fairly significant plus return on the money line.

Some of these money lines can be over +200, @ +220, +250 occasionally more, so you would only need the team to win probably somewhere close to 40%.

So guess what? Early results this year...dreadful!