I think you have done and are doing very well Druff. Especially for a stated recreational type bettor. I have been fortunate enough to piggyback on probably 2/3's of your picks.

just a couple of my thoughts:

Pro Basketball is incredibly hard to pick sides with points. Sometimes there is a ton of points scored in the last 4 minutes, of a game that mean nothing as far as who wins, but does flip the point wager. Like a team favored by 8 or 9, winning by 15-16 at the 3 or 4 minute mark and wins by 6. betting with the spreads is just too difficult. I think you can do a little something with point totals, but even that can get hairy with a ton of points scored at the end of the game that means nothing. One thing I have has some success with is betting the total for one team. Like a lakers over 114. That kind of trend seems to hold true to form a little more.

And while you do fairly well in baseball, Dan Druff, I have always thought you put too much emphasis on the starting pitchers, both betting with a hot pitcher and fading a pitcher that is struggling. Starting pitchers just don't pitch deep anymore. 5, 6 innings at most. There is a lot that happens in the later innings. I am sure you consider each teams bullpen strengths and weaknesses, but in this day and age, that might be as important as the starting pitchers. If you are going to put so much emphasis on starting pitchers, both backing and fading, you might want to consider the 5 inning lines more than you do.

Again, I have had some success playing just one teams total run amounts for both games and 5 inning lines. A little better with the games. Like the Texas Rangers. I will take the Rangers over 4.5, even over 5, every chance I get. They average over 6 runs a game. That kind of thing.

But again, you are doing great. And I appreciate your picks.