Professional Sportsbetting

[mickeycrimm]

Well, the Billy Walters book is out. I went to Amazon to get the kindle version but they don't have it. At least not for sale. You have to order the hard cover. It's a one week delivery and I'm on the road. I have to be where I can pick it up. I might have a copy by Sept 6.

But you can get a sample on Kindle. So I downloaded the sample. Did you know that Walters and Steve Wynn are mortal enemies? Walters said it started when he beat Wynn out of 3.6 million playing roulette. It seems Walters knows a lot about biased roulette wheels going back to the 80's. And he said Wynn stood in the way of him getting an early pardon.

He also threw Mickelson way under the bus. He said he has no respect for Mickelson or Wynn.

Now, for sports betting. Here's some quotes:

"I've been up since 4:30 AM double checking games....the games with odds to my liking are listed on a legal pad to my right along with corresponding power ratings. The greater the difference between my rating and the point spread, the more I'm going to bet."

"Betting sports is about one thing and one thing only: value."

About his power ratings he said "My expert analysts gather a thousand points of data and feed them into a computer programmed with proprietary algorithms and probability theories."

He said that things like weather and field conditions have to be factored in also. But it was pretty clear that power ratings from computer driven algorithms is his main gig.

He is big on value....as in....expected value. The bigger the edge he figures to have the more he bets.

Redietz needs to have a talk with Walters and tell him that analyzing statistics don't work in sports betting.

Well, good to know I don't analyze statistics. LOL. Mickey, you are parading your ignorance. Not the first time. You know absolutely nothing about me, and you refuse to take what I say at face value.

I have reported here, many times, that Mr. Walters assembled roundtables of experts and tried to extract "power ratings" from each of them. Why power ratings? Well, the answer is obvious. God almighty, mickey, have some brains. Seriously, if I die tomorrow, I would feel badly that you didn't actually learn anything from me. He also tried to keep the experts separate from each other. Gee, I wonder why.

I'm pretty sure I posted on here that one of my first conversations with one of Mr. Walters' lap dogs had to do with him wanting to buy my power ratings or pay me to formalize everything I do into power ratings. We had a conversation. I think I shocked the dude. He assumed, because I was 40-something at the time, that I had been doing this for fewer years than he had. He was way wrong.

As I was saying, it's good I don't analyze statistics. Now if mickey actually asked anyone who knew me or worked with me if I analyzed statistics, well, it would be a pretty funny discussion. I used to be able to do a parlor trick. Sunday LA Times -- all the college stats in column form listed game by game. Give me roughly two hours with it. I would then hand the paper over and, with no notes, tell people to quiz me. Not rain man stuff, but relatively precise ballpark accuracy (as within 10-15 yards each category of stat for every team).

I can't do that anymore, but I'm not exactly stat-averse.

Account, there is an established sports betting world that is many times larger than all the alleged AP bullshit historically combined. More people, more history, more expertise, and actual fact-based histories. Real people, not anonymous whack jobs alleging they know this and that without "reading carefully and thoroughly."

I was offered a small spot in a movie last night. No kidding. I was modest and said they didn't have to do that; I was just glad to help. But account, tell you what, if you want me to take a spot in a gangster-related film, I'll do so just for you. Right now, I'm just a consultant, but if you want me to pop up in the movie, so be it.

We can start a separate thread. My role would be shot in LV because the middle third of the film takes place in LV. Let me know if you want me to accept the role. I await your expert decision.

And account, for the gazillionth time, being monitored is not a "tournament." It's your actual plays for a season. Those McCusker Report pages in the Retro Road Trip thread are not a "tournament." They are annual results for top public handicappers published in book form.

Mickey, here's another great idea. Before declaring things about me sans evidence, why don't you track down people who worked with me? Ask them and report here. Not that hard. Freshman journalism stuff. Honestly, if you sit down with the Wise Guys, or Fezzik for that matter, or possibly Anthony Curtis (I assume he knows me), or Marc Lawrence, or Phil Steele, and say that "Bob Dietz doesn't use statistics," you'll be laughed out of Dodge.

You just can't make this shit up. LOL! Fucking Ditz! He went on and on about how you can't get anywhere using statistics. Told us we're dumasses if we try. I already knew Walters was using computer programs but waited until the book came out to confirm it because I knew the move ditz would pull "You don't know jackshit!"

So when I post up what Walters does, here comes ditz with the "I use statistics all the time, don't you know that? I can quote stats off the top of my head" routine. LOL! Fricking dunce. To late, ditz. You already made your bed when you said stats are worthless. So quit lying about it.

And stop with the nonsense of your pea brain beating Walter's computers. You're embarrassing yourself.

Oh, and tracking people down to ask about you? I tracked down Bob Dancer and Richard Munchkin. They said they don't think you are qualified for a podcast on gambling.

So better try your luck in the movies. You got no shot in sports betting.