Using this binomial distribution calculator -

https://homepage.divms.uiowa.edu/~mb...pplets/bin.htm

... and the very optimistic assumption of .55 win probability I get a 4.8% chance of going 56-31 or better in 87 games.

Using .5 as the win probability I get .048% (that seems a bit extreme though?).

So given the background probability of fraudulence at approximately 100%, I'm going to have to reluctantly decide victory in favor of redietz.