Originally Posted by unowme View Post
This analysis is based on Bayes Theorem first posed by Mathematician Thomas Bayes in 1763.
Actually Bayes was a clergyman (Reverend). Mathematics was a side pursuit. That gives you,me, and everyone else an idea of how smart he was. With regard to Bayes' Theorem - finding the event(s) to condition on, to reduce the probability space, is the hard part, as you may already know.