Originally Posted by kewlJ View Post
Originally Posted by AxelWolf View Post
P.S. I actually believe that you honestly believe in your video poker system and all the things that you've said about video poker. I do believe it's very possible you could have been an overall winner playing in that manner. Especially, if you hit a few big things.

I do not believe the system works in the long run, I do not believe in the five-card flip-over thing, and I do not believe people should use alternative strategies that are not based on math.

Question for you Axelwolf: When you say "I do believe it's very possible you could have been an overall winner playing in that manner", are you talking about ahead $375,000 over 4 years as Rob now claims? Because there is a big difference between bucking the math and being slightly ahead when it is -EV and bucking the math for almost $400k. THAT is a lot of extremely positive variance or good luck or whatever you want to call it. And it is over years, so not some really small sample size.

Also want to add my own little thoughts about the Interview Mike did with Rob. It did blow up the whole Singer claim! Because it went so poorly from Rob and in the days after people, including Dan Druff were saying he should be able to provide something, that Rob felt it necessary to take those pictures inside the Newell RV at the dealership, which really ended it all. Remember the Rv is relevant because Rob said that is what he did with the money from the DU bug.

When I traded messages with Mike a few days after the interview, I congratulated him on exposing Rob, or pushing him to the brink so Rob exposed himself. Mike took credit and said he thought Rob would say or do something that tripped himself up. I mean, I don't really know if Mike really had it thought out that well, but it did work and I give him credit.
I don't know. If somebody was playing a $100 machine, a $400,000 Royal is possible. Regardless, it's impossible to break down anything not knowing how often he played and what limits. I've known guys who are Advantage Players who took all their smaller earnings saved up and played higher limit machines with very thin edges who ultimately ran super well on Royals when it really counted.