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  1. #36
    Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
    Redietz wrote:

    "My whole mantra, unlike you, mickey, is staying in my lane. Not pretending to be expert at everything. Not using incorrect math to estimate "EV" or "overlays" when those are just guesses. Classic "AP" garbage. Maybe you guess good, fine, just say, "My best guess" or whatever. You nonchalantly riffed about playing poker and betting sports for profit in your first GWAE interview, I am not Leonardo Da AP."
    ____________________________

    Imagine that. A machine player getting out of his lane by playing poker? Something the mathematically challenged redietz would never do. In gambling Ditz is a one trick pony. He doesn't get how all gambling is related. He thinks if you are good in one discipline you can't be good in another. That is all based in his ignorance of the mathematics.

    First, I wasn't a machine pro that started playing poker. I was a poker player that started playing machines. I played poker in the mountain states for 4 years before I played machines. I beat the spread limit games as opposed to the split limit games. Good players always got the money in spread limit, different story in split limit. Bad players got bigger payoffs in split limit when they caught the joker on the end so it balanced things out between good players and bad players. Bad SPREAD LIMIT players didn't have that luxury. They were always getting the wrong price. That's why good spread limit players always got the money.

    I constantly studied the mathematics of a deck of cards in those days. Became very efficient at combinatorial math as related to a deck of cards. It's a doctrine in probability theory called "Combinations and Permutations."

    The spread limit games were drying up by 1996. The houses would rather spread split limit to keep the money going around and around and down the gator hole. So I was looking for something else.

    So, luckily, in 1996, I ran into advantage slots and advantage video poker. So how does one gain an advantage in video poker? Well, by golly, it's by being knowledgeable in a doctrine in probability theory called "Combinations and Permutations" as related to a deck of cards.

    Wow, Ditz! Imagine that. Live poker and video poker are relative. I used my knowledge of the math of live poker to beat video poker. Pretty smart, eh?

    This is something that the math challenged Dietz doesn't get. The fundamental of all gambling games is the math. The branch of mathematics known as Probability Theory was founded in the 17th century by dice gamblers asking noted mathematicians to work out probabilities for them.

    Dietz, all casino games are related through the math. A person knowledgeable in the math of gambling is not "jumping lanes" when he switches to another gambling game but rather is in the same lane. Probability is the fundamental of all casino games.
    I didn't have a computer or any way to calculate VP when I started. I knew that 9/6 jacks was 99.54 and FPDW was 100.7, card counting was about a 1-2% advantage, and progressive slots and VP were good, but I couldn't afford to play those games. $20 was a lot of money to me, luckily for me I always had a Job where my meals were free.

    With Flush Attack I didn't need any math to clearly see it was a huge +EV situation. The first time I played it was a few-hour session and I made a whopping $70. It wasn't the amount of money I made that thrilled me, it was the why and how I made that $70. I hit nothing good other than a few flushes during Attack mode. Once I factored in the low bankroll needed I could see the potential and taste the freedom. It was many months later, perhaps a year when Card Player Magazine published the exact numbers and strategy. I wasn't far off on the strategy or my estimation.
    After a few obviously good promotions having to wing strategies and estimating values, I realized I needed a computer and some VP software. My first VP software was inaccurate when cross-referenceed with whatever I found published.

    I finally got a copy of VP tutor, it took like 48 hours to run a game. I spent hours making my own strategies checking each had individually. The next computer I purchased got calculating games down to an hour.

    I remember how thrilled I was when I got a laptop that did it in 15 minutes(a huge investment close to 4k). Now I could run out to my car and calculate games or situations on the fly. Eventually, a portable printer so I could print my own "payroll checks"

    Whenever it came to reel slots there was a substantial amount of educated guessing on the values.
    Last edited by AxelWolf; 12-06-2023 at 02:34 PM.

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