Originally Posted by redietz View Post
Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
You've added "past tense>" Why did you do that? LOL

I've always said that if you want to use past tense, have at it. I've probably said that 20 times just on this forum. It's not coin flipping, so as the caveat goes, past results are no predictor of future outcomes.

I think Munchkin set the stage for me using a simple line like "past tense." I had a whole spiel ready for him as to why "EV" was not appropriate terminology for predicting sports betting profits, but when the topic was introduced, he more or less shrugged his shoulders and said something like you should only use that past tense. It seemed obvious to him. That summed it up admirably, and no further discussion was needed. It's obvious that if "EV" is just a past tense descriptor and is no predictor, there's no real utility in using it as lingo regarding expectations going forward.
You talk a lot about "coin flips" but I've never seen you use the phrase "coin flips with juice." What does coin flips with juice mean to you?