I don't think this conversation is benefitting anybody so I'll bow out after this last comment
they would use only the rawest, most basic, simple math
he would surmise for example that he is ranked as one of the top 100 players in the world and there are thousands of players there who are not in that category
based on that simplistic math he believes he will come away with a profit - but he could not come remotely close to accurately predicting how much it is likely to be
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