I do read the "other" forum, so I did see the comments by you and Axelwolf. These "trends" with a many year track record, ALL work for what I am doing, because I don't need to win at a 54% or 55% to actually win money. I just need to be as close to 50-50 as I can be and the bonuses will be the +EV part. But any trend that continues and comes in at 54% is even better.
Now yesterday, I did run around to the B & M sports books here in Vegas making substantial wagers on the underdogs + points, so that is outside my bonus +EV. I am looking for (hoping for) this first 2 weeks trend to score another win this year.
Missed last night by about an inch, with the final play, so there is "work" to do tonight and this weekend.
I have been betting and watching a lot of baseball this summer working through my bonuses. I gotta say that I am damn glad football is back. Baseball just is not a very exciting sport to watch. Football much more so for me.