Originally Posted by
Half Smoke
Originally Posted by
redietz
For those with some wisdom, the college football chalk in games involving 1-A schools went 31-18 or 30-19 ATS yesterday, depending on when you bet Auburn.
using covers.com - see link - I believe they're all 1-A schools - I counted the faves going 33-26 on Saturday - a much lower winning %
https://www.covers.com/sports/ncaaf/matchups
Nope. I re-did the numbers. Using 1-A versus 1-A opening numbers or numbers within 24 hours of kickoff, faves were 31-19 or thereabouts. The ASU line pivoted; the Auburn line shifted to a win from a push.
I see how you might have misinterpreted "Games involving 1-A schools." That means games involving ONLY 1-A schools, as limits for other games are generally circled and low and often unavailable until game day at many offshores.
I appreciate the criticism, however. Very happy you got to stick your nose in. I also used Covers.com, by the way, for the tally. In general, when doing these kinds of additions, I usually frame the tally as either "opening numbers" or "closing numbers." That would have affected just the Auburn game, but no others of which I'm aware.
The 1-A vs. non-1-A games have very different limits and availabilities. Some offshores wait until an hour before Saturday kickoff to post them, although others try to get them posted by Friday afternoon or earlier.
I also counted Illinois as a push, although some people were able to win that game with either side. I think push was the generally agreed upon most-common tally. So no, I wasn't stretching the bounds of likeliness.