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Thread: Smart Money

  1. #1141
    1-1 because I didn't wake up early enough.
    Today should be an easy day.

    2 Teamer
    Devils Puck Line
    Wild Puck Line

  2. #1142
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Chin Up.
    Another decent day in the NHL

    2 Teamer
    Leafs Puck Line
    Wild Puck Line

    4 Teamer
    Leafs Puck Line
    Capitals Puck Line
    Wild Puck Line
    Knights Puck Line or Money Line

    Pays around 35 to 1 with all Puck Line Betting.
    We went 2-2 on the day as the Caps and Knights got beat.
    But our 2 Teamer came through.
    The NHL is so easy.
    Why??
    Because of the Empty Netter.
    The Leafs come through winning 3-1 thanks to getting the free goal.
    I just got up and haven't cashed the tickets yet.
    I lost 3 Hun on the 4 Teamers.
    But... I bet 825.50 to win 3,615.40 on the Two Teamer.
    So, a profit of 3,315.40.
    I'll post the tickets after I cash them.
    Too Late to really get down on anything today.
    I suppose you have enough to get down on the Canes.
    You can either take the Hurricanes with the Money Line or Puck Line.
    The Money Line has pretty darn good value at -130.
    Fucking Value Bets, lol
    DON'T BET PARLAYS... right?
    Easy Parcheesi...
    Attached Images Attached Images  

  3. #1143
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    1-1 because I didn't wake up early enough.
    Today should be an easy day.

    2 Teamer
    Devils Puck Line
    Wild Puck Line
    0-2
    It's been a long time since I've had an Oh For.
    Almost 7 weeks.
    I hate when the Fucking Sharks win.
    Lose 400.

    Flyers Puck Line Straight Bet

    Small Bet 3 Teamer
    Flyers Puck Line
    Buffalo Puck Line
    Stars Puck Line

  4. #1144
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    1-1 because I didn't wake up early enough.
    Today should be an easy day.

    2 Teamer
    Devils Puck Line
    Wild Puck Line
    0-2
    It's been a long time since I've had an Oh For.
    Almost 7 weeks.
    I hate when the Fucking Sharks win.
    Lose 400.

    Flyers Puck Line Straight Bet

    Small Bet 3 Teamer
    Flyers Puck Line
    Buffalo Puck Line
    Stars Puck Line
    Thanks for not holding a 3-0 lead Philly.
    Appreciate it.
    1-2 on the day.
    No Bets Today.

  5. #1145
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    1-1 because I didn't wake up early enough.
    Today should be an easy day.

    2 Teamer
    Devils Puck Line
    Wild Puck Line
    0-2
    It's been a long time since I've had an Oh For.
    Almost 7 weeks.
    I hate when the Fucking Sharks win.
    Lose 400.

    Flyers Puck Line Straight Bet

    Small Bet 3 Teamer
    Flyers Puck Line
    Buffalo Puck Line
    Stars Puck Line
    Thanks for not holding a 3-0 lead Philly.
    Appreciate it.
    1-2 on the day.
    No Bets Today.
    Quitter! Like your diets fat fuck!

    Drink more green you piece of human shit!

    And whatever you do, don’t check that gook of yours pussy when she comes home.

  6. #1146
    Straight Bet
    Knights Puck Line

    Small 3 Teamer
    Knights Puck Line
    Canes Puck Line
    Penguins Money Line

  7. #1147
    LUL... I'm cursed.
    12 seconds to go and the Ducks ruin the Puck Line.
    So Evil.

    Two Teamer for tomorrow
    Rangers Puck Line
    Wild Puck Line

  8. #1148
    Again with this Bullshit.
    Time to jump off the Harris Dam.

  9. #1149
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Again with this Bullshit.
    Time to jump off the Harris Dam.
    Or stop betting puck lines and parlays. Anyone who has a bankroll and bet the games straight individually AGAIN made good money from your picks.

    All bullshit aside I think you know that but for some reason you keep betting this garbage.

    Anyways, keep the winners coming for those of us who can read between the lines.

  10. #1150
    Originally Posted by The Boz View Post
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Again with this Bullshit.
    Time to jump off the Harris Dam.
    Or stop betting puck lines and parlays. Anyone who has a bankroll and bet the games straight individually AGAIN made good money from your picks.

    All bullshit aside I think you know that but for some reason you keep betting this garbage.

    Anyways, keep the winners coming for those of us who can read between the lines.

    I appreciate monet's hockey expertise. You just have to ignore his parlay expertise.

    And Boz, feel free to explain to folks in other threads the true value of the Wizard's "parlay calculator" nonsense. Offshores have started offering their own gratis "parlay calculators" to help out the rubes.

    And, oh yeah, the only future I bet this football season looks like it might make some money. Vols will likely lose this week, but if they win out after that (UTEP, Vanderbilt), they are better than 50/50 to be in the playoff. We'll see. I could hedge this week, but as monet and my better half say, hedging is for weenies.

    I have Vols at 50-1 to win the whole shebang. Regardless of outcome, it was a decent investment. I labeled it a C- or thereabouts at the time. Still kind of agree with that. They have weaknesses. My God, they went scoreless in first halves for three straight games, which is almost impossible. And won two of them and are ranked. Almost impossible. Good front four on defense, though.
    Last edited by redietz; 11-15-2024 at 09:42 AM.

  11. #1151
    Bullshit... I won today because I didn't post my picks.
    And I got pretty Fucking Lucky with the Knights scoring 2 goals in the last minute.
    And the Flames got the Empty Netter.

    2 Teamer nearly paid 5 to 1.
    I bet $400.
    I won a little over $1900.
    I'll post the tickets later.

  12. #1152
    For the record, I was pretty unlucky with three losses in a row where last second goals ruined the Puck Line.
    But each time I was over a 97% chance to cash.
    Due to happen, as I had a monster run at the end of last season and beginning of this season.
    I had the Knights at +190... probably not the sharpest line.
    This is what you Naysayers do not understand about the NHL Puck Line and Empty Net Goals...
    Attached Images Attached Images  

  13. #1153
    I'm playing like a girl today.

    Small 4 Teamer
    Penguins Puck Line
    Canes Puck Line
    Kings Puck Line
    Canucks Puck Line

    Pays 24.5 to 1

  14. #1154
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    I'm playing like a girl today.

    Small 4 Teamer
    Penguins Puck Line
    Canes Puck Line
    Kings Puck Line
    Canucks Puck Line

    Pays 24.5 to 1
    Canes Win 4-0
    Kings Win 4-1
    Canucks Win with 2 Empty Netters 4-1
    Mother Fucking Penguins up 3-0 but can't hold.
    They win in OT 4-3.
    I only bet a hundred bucks to win about 2450.
    Sharks been ruining my week.
    4 Times in a row now lol.
    Anyone, that has any clue, can see that Parlays can easily be beaten.
    Whatever.

  15. #1155
    35-21 in the NHL so far this season.
    That's 62.5%.
    I'm winning more cash because of parlays compared to betting straight

    Tomorrow...

    3 Teamer
    Canes Puck Line
    Rangers Puck Line
    Canucks Money Line

  16. #1156
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    I'm playing like a girl today.

    Small 4 Teamer
    Penguins Puck Line
    Canes Puck Line
    Kings Puck Line
    Canucks Puck Line

    Pays 24.5 to 1
    Canes Win 4-0
    Kings Win 4-1
    Canucks Win with 2 Empty Netters 4-1
    Mother Fucking Penguins up 3-0 but can't hold.
    They win in OT 4-3.
    I only bet a hundred bucks to win about 2450.
    Sharks been ruining my week.
    4 Times in a row now lol.
    Anyone, that has any clue, can see that Parlays can easily be beaten.
    Whatever.
    Great stuff Monet. Parlays, like individual games, can be undervalued. So, for example, if this parlay had had a true probability of 20 to 1, but you are getting 24.5 to 1 then you grab the parlay. Or, if you simply know which teams will win, like yourself, then you take the parlay.

  17. #1157
    Originally Posted by tableplay View Post
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    I'm playing like a girl today.

    Small 4 Teamer
    Penguins Puck Line
    Canes Puck Line
    Kings Puck Line
    Canucks Puck Line

    Pays 24.5 to 1
    Canes Win 4-0
    Kings Win 4-1
    Canucks Win with 2 Empty Netters 4-1
    Mother Fucking Penguins up 3-0 but can't hold.
    They win in OT 4-3.
    I only bet a hundred bucks to win about 2450.
    Sharks been ruining my week.
    4 Times in a row now lol.
    Anyone, that has any clue, can see that Parlays can easily be beaten.
    Whatever.
    Great stuff Monet. Parlays, like individual games, can be undervalued. So, for example, if this parlay had had a true probability of 20 to 1, but you are getting 24.5 to 1 then you grab the parlay. Or, if you simply know which teams will win, like yourself, then you take the parlay.
    It gets better if you shop around when lines open.
    You're probably getting around 3 or 4 points better.
    I don't have the time or patience to nit it up to the nth degree.
    Positive Play is Positive Play.
    When you're getting 5 to 1 on a 2 Teamer that has an 85%+ success rate it really doesn't matter now, does it?
    Anyone can beat it.
    Check the math on that... I think it's positive

  18. #1158
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    Bullshit... I won today because I didn't post my picks.
    And I got pretty Fucking Lucky with the Knights scoring 2 goals in the last minute.
    And the Flames got the Empty Netter.

    2 Teamer nearly paid 5 to 1.
    I bet $400.
    I won a little over $1900.
    I'll post the tickets later.
    Do Not Bet or Listen to my Parlay Advice.
    Attached Images Attached Images  

  19. #1159
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    When you're getting 5 to 1 on a 2 Teamer that has an 85%+ success rate it really doesn't matter now, does it?
    That's right. At that point, the bigger problem is how to get your action into the books (lots of small bets on the same parlay at various William Hill kiosks I would guess).

  20. #1160
    Originally Posted by monet View Post
    35-21 in the NHL so far this season.
    That's 62.5%.
    I'm winning more cash because of parlays compared to betting straight

    Tomorrow...

    3 Teamer
    Canes Puck Line
    Rangers Puck Line
    Canucks Money Line
    37-22 (62.7%)

    Canes Win 4-1
    Rangers Win 2-0
    Preds Win 5-3
    Canucks had a disastrous 2nd Period but even in this loss it still proves how strong the Empty Net is as the Preds get the Open Goal.
    They can't beat me forever.
    Just a matter of time before I go 7-0 on the day.

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