2 pt conversions

[kewlJ]

As wizard's site and others gear up towards the 50 some pages of prop bets due out this week for the Superbowl, here is something I haven't seen mentioned. Yesterdays 2 conference games produced a of a total of (6) 2 point conversion tries. 3 in each game, for a total of 3 successful and 3 unsuccessful. That is an unusually high number. Might we see more than "normal" in the superbowl?


In the KC/Buffalo game, the 2 point tries had a direct impact on the game. Buffalo missed 2 point tries at the end of the second quarter and early 3rd quarter. And the chiefs made a 2 point conversion on their TD that followed. Now had Buffalo kicked extra points both times, They would have lead 24-21 instead of 22-21 and when the Chiefs scored they would have not gone for two and kicked the extra point instead. The end result would have been 2 extra points for Buffalo and 1 less for KC or a 31-31 tie at regulation if everything played out the same.

That is sort of the lesson as to why you shouldn't start going for 2 point conversions early in the game and then chasing missed point.

[The Boz]

The Bills shit the bed on that early one and you exactly explained why and how it worked out against them. The other change that one has to consider is the impact of constantly going for 2 in multiple ways, including total FG’s. Many other ways that I question if linemakers are unsure how to adjust for them but it’s almost hunches at this point for me.

Meanwhile we know the Wiz will be betting his no safety bet again this year believing he has “value”.