Fontainebleau under investigation by Gaming for giving $2m credit to a known bookie, Damien "DJ" Leforbes

[AxelWolf]

I don't know why MDawg is so doubtful of this.

That's an easy one!!! He wants us to believe that his pictures of checks, etc, are unquestionable proof he is beating baccarat like a red-headed stepchild day in and day out, year after year, at the same few casinos, all while getting the red carpet treatment and high fives from The Pit Bosses and other employees.

Any possible indication that you could trick the system and create fake overall winnings absolutely crushes his soul.

If he's truly playing at the levels he claims, there's one reason and one reason only he's been getting the red carpet treatment this long, and that's because he's an overall big-time losing player.

Come on, the dude talked about complete baccarat Voodoo bullshit, but then attempts to his fake success off as Advantage Play.

Mike himself made a post (it was later deleted) that indicated he noticed no such Advantage Play going on. And just an FYI, the limits that Mike witnessed were nowhere near the limits MD claims to play.

[MDawg]

https://www.getyarn.io/yarn-clip/e83...5-b014de86c646

[AxelWolf]

Any smart person or legitimate Advantage Player reading the following will realize how much of a dumb fucking idiot Gambler this guy is.

I took up a new game, Baccarat, where, for whatever reason, I ended up winning far more than I had ever won at Blackjack.

But Baccarat, as all the "pros" will tell you, is a game of chance - it has an inherently negative (about one percent) house advantage, and there is no way to win at it. And yet, I do. How?

In Baccarat, there are good shoes, and then there are bad shoes.

Here's an example of a good shoe:
Click image for larger version.

Name: BaccShoe_Streaks.jpg
Views: 85164
Size: 89.0 KB
ID: 22
A good shoe, is defined as one with a discernible pattern - that repeats. Early on in this shoe, the pattern was what is known as the "chop" bank/player/bank/player etc. Just follow it, there was but one deviation from this pattern in 8 hands. Even better, after this chop pattern subsided, were STREAKS, where bank and player ran for a while, and then switched over. In one case the bank ran twelve times in a row! The rule is to press into all runs, or rather, to at least press anytime a pattern or streak runs more than three times. This shoe was a guaranteed winner for anyone with his wits around him.

The other way to win, is to get up and leave after a good shoe, and to quit or lower your bet substantially whenever a bad shoe presents itself - a bad shoe being one with no discernible pattern. This sort of "hit and run" gambling actually does work, and if everyone who gambled got up and left as soon as he was ahead, the casinos would all go dark in a very short time.

Of course naysayers will scoff at such tactics. "Hit and run? How does that change the house advantage?" They will tell you that over time, the amount of winning versus losing will even out and the only loss will be attributed to the house advantage, which, as noted, in Baccarat's case, is 1%. In other words, pass a million dollars (the amount of money bet is called your "handle") over the betting circle, and you'll lose $10,000. - guaranteed. This fails to take into account though that in reality, the house advantage has very little to do with how much money typical gamblers win or lose at Baccarat.

Big Baccarat players routinely hit the casino for multi million dollar wins. Happens every week in the big casinos. This is by no means a common occurrence at other casino games like blackjack or craps, a big win at these tables might be a couple hundred thousand dollars, rarely will someone come in and take the casino for millions at any game other than Baccarat. But there are also routine multi million dollar losses at Baccarat, where high rollers lose their entire credit lines in a relatively short period of time. This is because in Baccarat, almost no players bet the same bet ("flat betting") or anywhere near the same bet, on each hand. They jump their bets around massively, between as little as a hundred dollars to as much as twenty thousand if a regular limit player, as much as a quarter million, if a high limit player. Most Baccarat players sit at the table intending to either win big, or lose it all trying. At the end of each session, the final result has nothing to do with the house advantage, and if the game were truly fifty fifty, with no house advantage, the end result at almost all sessions would be the same for most players - win big, lose it all, or walk away even (which is what some players will do quite frequently too, be down, end up even, and just leave). Session results that reflect a 1% loss almost never happen, and since they almost never happen on a session by session basis, they cannot happen when extrapolated over time, either.

What most "gamblers" (using this term loosely in that most commentators on gambling sit at home and rarely play, especially not at any high levels) fail to understand is that a game like Baccarat, while ostensibly as random as say the roll of the dice, or a coin toss, or spin of the roulette wheel, isn't exactly the same sort of truly independent event. What happens in one coin toss has nothing to do with what happens in the next, but also, each coin toss is truly independent of the other - there is no set pattern of results. In Baccarat on the other hand, once the cards are set in the shoe, the results are fixed, if a given shoe has a thirty bank run in it, that run will remain and will happen no matter what other hands are played before or after the run. So a Baccarat shoe may be likened to coming up to a slot machine that is set to pay, a lot, or pay frequently - or not. Sticking around once you've chanced upon that slot machine that will keep paying, is all that is required to collect, and collect big.

Most anyone will agree that there are good Baccarat shoes, and bad ones. Here is another good one:
Click image for larger version.

Name: BaccShoe_BankRuns.jpg
Views: 85051
Size: 97.9 KB
ID: 23
in this shoe, the pattern is "player runs only one" - this pattern was broken only a few times in the entire shoe. All that was needed in this shoe was to bet the bank, and bet it big, after each player win, and keep up with that bet, pressing it, into each bank run. Why, this should be clear to a child. I myself won big on this shoe, and I was barely betting. $26.5K ahead for this shoe.
Click image for larger version.

Name: 26K_chips_afterBaccShoeRunCosmo_9_10_2019.jpg
Views: 84661
Size: 95.7 KB
ID: 24
Ohhhh yeah!

The point being, that when presented with a good shoe, a good player should be able to realize it, quickly, win big in that shoe, and then leave afterwards ("hit and run"). When presented with a bad shoe, he should be able to lower his bet, or leave because it should become quickly apparent that things are not happening. This outcome - good shoe, or bad shoe - is set once the cards are shuffled and set in the shoe. Discerning a good shoe, a good situation, from a bad one, comes with time and experience in Baccarat, but again gets back to that Baccarat, while random in the sense of there is no real way to predict the result of the next hand, does present itself as a series of events that will either present higher odds, or lower odds, of winning.

Getting back to the slot machine analogy, walking up to a good Baccarat shoe is like starting to play a slot machine that has been set to pay off more frequently, versus one that has been set to pay off less frequently. The luck of walking up to the right Baccarat shoe, might be just luck, but where the skill comes in, is in pressing your bet and taking advantage of such shoes.

As one of my compadres who routinely bets $5000. per hand at Baccarat when appropriate puts it, "Let me tell you something about This game. When given the chance, you have to bet big." And of course what he meant was, when given the chance to play a good shoe, with a discernible pattern.

[MDawg]

Of course that was before I started playing at private tables, set up a certain way. But all of that would be beyond your ken. Including that you would even know what the word ken means.

Look, you're an idiot who thought that markers with the signature torn out of them might not yet have been redeemed. That proves that you are lying when you claim to have ever deposited a nickel and pulled a marker in your life. How could someone who has ever pulled a marker not realize that the mere fact that it is in your hands free for you to take a picture of it, let alone with the signature torn out of it, mean that it has been redeemed. That sort of nonsense is laughable and representative of how out of touch you are with what's going on today in casinos.

Let's face it, you're an active alcoholic who has been desperate to establish that someone superior to you in every way might not have accomplished what you could not even dreamed to have accomplished in the casinos. And like everyone else, you don't like to admit that you were wrong, starting with that you thought that the first image of one of my watches I posted in passing, was a fake, when in fact it is an $80,000. platinum Day Date. You're the one who is a fake, with a fake Rolex in your drawer.

Nothing about MDawg is fake. And that rattles you.

[theywontpayontuesday]

[MisterV]

Of course that was before I started playing at private tables, set up a certain way. But all of that would be beyond your ken. Including that you would even know what the word ken means.

Look, you're an idiot who thought that markers with the signature torn out of them might not yet have been redeemed. That proves that you are lying when you claim to have ever deposited a nickel and pulled a marker in your life. How could someone who has ever pulled a marker not realize that the mere fact that it is in your hands free for you to take a picture of it, let alone with the signature torn out of it, mean that it has been redeemed. That sort of nonsense is laughable and representative of how out of touch you are with what's going on today in casinos.

Let's face it, you're an active alcoholic who has been desperate to establish that someone superior to you in every way might not have accomplished what you could not even dreamed to have accomplished in the casinos. And like everyone else, you don't like to admit that you were wrong, starting with that you thought that the first image of one of my watches I posted in passing, was a fake, when in fact it is an $80,000. platinum Day Date. You're the one who is a fake, with a fake Rolex in your drawer.

Nothing about MDawg is fake. And that rattles you.

What's next, hound, you gonna post dick pics?

Bwa ha ha ha

[The Boz]

Axel posts MDawgs own words that EVERYONE, including the Creep, realize is pure fantasy bullshit.

And what does MDawg do to counter it? Posts insults and accusations against him. It’s his MO because his own claims and words always exposed his fantasy.

And YES myself and many others on this forum could buy in and post pictures of $100,000 chips if we were trying to impress strangers or even people we met. Proves nothing about winning and losing.

MDawg OWNED and EXPOSED again, has to be killing him. “But, but, but daddy, they don’t believe me. Waaaaa.”

[DGenBen]

So when you are winning you just bet more money & when you’re losing you just bet less money.

What could go wrong?

[Gottlob]

So when you are winning you just bet more money & when you’re losing you just bet less money.

What could go wrong?

That's the Kelly criterion approach. But, then, a lot is lost by "playing it as safe", with fractional betting.

If start with 1024 units, bet half, and, then, win, and lose, three times, each, it's, say, 1024 to 512 to 256 to 128, back to 192 to 288 to 432, regardless the order of the three wins, and losses, and given even a 50-50 proposition. Devastating?

The reason that it's best to back off the whole Kelly thing, a fair bit, and, then, try to make up for it in other ways.

[Rob.Singer]

I can see why people would want to convert cash into a check at a casino for money laundering.

However is that really necessary?

Real gamblers often take winnings in cash and then deposit it in their bank accounts and advise the bank for the bank’s CTR that it is from gambling winnings.

So if someone is laundering money and establishes a paper trail of being present at a casino, and documents winning in a gambling diary, then deposits the cash in the bank advising on the banks CTR the source of cash is gambling winnings, then proceeds to report the gambling income on their taxes & pay any taxes due on it, haven’t they accomplished the same thing as someone who got paid in a check?

Over the years I've been strictly a cash player, I've withdrawn & deposited millions of dollars at 2 banks, and on only one occasion did I take a check for a vp win--which was only for a part of it. The remainder was taken in cash--$700k in cash.

BofA has never questioned all the activity but Chase (my back-up bank) did close my account the moment I tried to deposit 6 figures. I've always filled out all the paperwork the banks required for compliance, my tax returns have been impeccably accurate, and any questions and audits that came my way via the IRS and banks were answered with the utmost respect.

There is no mystery here. Follow the rules and trouble will not appear. Chase closing my account was an inconvenience, but nothing more. All this drama about money laundering and illegal activity...it is what it is, and likely for sensationalism. If people get caught doing nefarious things then they deserved to be caught. It's not rocket science.

[kewlJ]

Any smart person or legitimate Advantage Player reading the following will realize how much of a dumb fucking idiot Gambler this guy is.

I took up a new game, Baccarat, where, for whatever reason, I ended up winning far more than I had ever won at Blackjack.

But Baccarat, as all the "pros" will tell you, is a game of chance - it has an inherently negative (about one percent) house advantage, and there is no way to win at it. And yet, I do. How?

In Baccarat, there are good shoes, and then there are bad shoes.

Here's an example of a good shoe:
Click image for larger version.

Name: BaccShoe_Streaks.jpg
Views: 85164
Size: 89.0 KB
ID: 22
A good shoe, is defined as one with a discernible pattern - that repeats. Early on in this shoe, the pattern was what is known as the "chop" bank/player/bank/player etc. Just follow it, there was but one deviation from this pattern in 8 hands. Even better, after this chop pattern subsided, were STREAKS, where bank and player ran for a while, and then switched over. In one case the bank ran twelve times in a row! The rule is to press into all runs, or rather, to at least press anytime a pattern or streak runs more than three times. This shoe was a guaranteed winner for anyone with his wits around him.

The other way to win, is to get up and leave after a good shoe, and to quit or lower your bet substantially whenever a bad shoe presents itself - a bad shoe being one with no discernible pattern. This sort of "hit and run" gambling actually does work, and if everyone who gambled got up and left as soon as he was ahead, the casinos would all go dark in a very short time.

Of course naysayers will scoff at such tactics. "Hit and run? How does that change the house advantage?" They will tell you that over time, the amount of winning versus losing will even out and the only loss will be attributed to the house advantage, which, as noted, in Baccarat's case, is 1%. In other words, pass a million dollars (the amount of money bet is called your "handle") over the betting circle, and you'll lose $10,000. - guaranteed. This fails to take into account though that in reality, the house advantage has very little to do with how much money typical gamblers win or lose at Baccarat.

Big Baccarat players routinely hit the casino for multi million dollar wins. Happens every week in the big casinos. This is by no means a common occurrence at other casino games like blackjack or craps, a big win at these tables might be a couple hundred thousand dollars, rarely will someone come in and take the casino for millions at any game other than Baccarat. But there are also routine multi million dollar losses at Baccarat, where high rollers lose their entire credit lines in a relatively short period of time. This is because in Baccarat, almost no players bet the same bet ("flat betting") or anywhere near the same bet, on each hand. They jump their bets around massively, between as little as a hundred dollars to as much as twenty thousand if a regular limit player, as much as a quarter million, if a high limit player. Most Baccarat players sit at the table intending to either win big, or lose it all trying. At the end of each session, the final result has nothing to do with the house advantage, and if the game were truly fifty fifty, with no house advantage, the end result at almost all sessions would be the same for most players - win big, lose it all, or walk away even (which is what some players will do quite frequently too, be down, end up even, and just leave). Session results that reflect a 1% loss almost never happen, and since they almost never happen on a session by session basis, they cannot happen when extrapolated over time, either.

What most "gamblers" (using this term loosely in that most commentators on gambling sit at home and rarely play, especially not at any high levels) fail to understand is that a game like Baccarat, while ostensibly as random as say the roll of the dice, or a coin toss, or spin of the roulette wheel, isn't exactly the same sort of truly independent event. What happens in one coin toss has nothing to do with what happens in the next, but also, each coin toss is truly independent of the other - there is no set pattern of results. In Baccarat on the other hand, once the cards are set in the shoe, the results are fixed, if a given shoe has a thirty bank run in it, that run will remain and will happen no matter what other hands are played before or after the run. So a Baccarat shoe may be likened to coming up to a slot machine that is set to pay, a lot, or pay frequently - or not. Sticking around once you've chanced upon that slot machine that will keep paying, is all that is required to collect, and collect big.

Most anyone will agree that there are good Baccarat shoes, and bad ones. Here is another good one:
Click image for larger version.

Name: BaccShoe_BankRuns.jpg
Views: 85051
Size: 97.9 KB
ID: 23
in this shoe, the pattern is "player runs only one" - this pattern was broken only a few times in the entire shoe. All that was needed in this shoe was to bet the bank, and bet it big, after each player win, and keep up with that bet, pressing it, into each bank run. Why, this should be clear to a child. I myself won big on this shoe, and I was barely betting. $26.5K ahead for this shoe.
Click image for larger version.

Name: 26K_chips_afterBaccShoeRunCosmo_9_10_2019.jpg
Views: 84661
Size: 95.7 KB
ID: 24
Ohhhh yeah!

The point being, that when presented with a good shoe, a good player should be able to realize it, quickly, win big in that shoe, and then leave afterwards ("hit and run"). When presented with a bad shoe, he should be able to lower his bet, or leave because it should become quickly apparent that things are not happening. This outcome - good shoe, or bad shoe - is set once the cards are shuffled and set in the shoe. Discerning a good shoe, a good situation, from a bad one, comes with time and experience in Baccarat, but again gets back to that Baccarat, while random in the sense of there is no real way to predict the result of the next hand, does present itself as a series of events that will either present higher odds, or lower odds, of winning.

Getting back to the slot machine analogy, walking up to a good Baccarat shoe is like starting to play a slot machine that has been set to pay off more frequently, versus one that has been set to pay off less frequently. The luck of walking up to the right Baccarat shoe, might be just luck, but where the skill comes in, is in pressing your bet and taking advantage of such shoes.

As one of my compadres who routinely bets $5000. per hand at Baccarat when appropriate puts it, "Let me tell you something about This game. When given the chance, you have to bet big." And of course what he meant was, when given the chance to play a good shoe, with a discernible pattern.

Thanks for posting this axelwolf. There really is no comeback from this. A little bit of every kind of voodoo here. A little "hot and cold shoes", reminiscent of a guy telling us VP machine telepath hot and cold cycles. We got some stop limit activity "walking away after a good shoe". (One of the late Alan's favorites). We got some varying bets (progressive wagering). This post has all the voodoo gambling shit.

[kewlJ]

Your Dad or Uncle wants his casino chip and watch back. He said for you to stop stealing them off his night stand.

He says you can keep the candy bar.

He also says you are grounded and can't take the camel out this weekend.

[MDawg]

You really should seek professional help with your mental illnesses. I think there's more than two. Possibly four....RIP

So we asked him, "What is your name?" UNKewlJ answered, "My name is 'Mob'--there are so many of us!" -Mark 5:9

kewlJ is more than one person posting on that username which is why the discrepancies have wild variance.

[kewlJ]

One of my favorite things about these baccarat guys is when they say something like "people bet big and win big amounts everyday".

Yes, they do. That is called variance. It occurs with almost every casino game. You can ride variance to a win for a few hours or even a few days. You cannot do so for 8 years!! To win long-term you have to have something, some sort of advantage play or technique that flips the advantage to the player long-term. And these guys never have that.

[The Boz]

What's next, hound, you gonna post dick pics?

Bwa ha ha ha

Since you asked……

[MDawg]

Funny to see the guy always crying about "homophobia" here is actually the biggest bigot on VCT.

[The Boz]

One of my favorite things about these baccarat guys is when they say something like "people bet big and win big amounts everyday".

Yes, they do. That is called variance. It occurs with almost every casino game. You can ride variance to a win for a few hours or even a few days. You cannot do so for 8 years!! To win long-term you have to have something, some sort of advantage play or technique that flips the advantage to the player long-term. And these guys never have that.

No, he moved to private tables so he didn’t need that gameplan anymore. Get with the program here and follow along KJ!

[kewlJ]

No, he moved to private tables so he didn’t need that gameplan anymore. Get with the program here and follow along KJ!

My bad Boz.

I can see where private tables would be the key to winning. 5 sets of eyes on your every move, rather than 1 or 2. More eyes on the pit as well. If anyone really allowed what Mdawg claims to occur, they would be out before the end of their shift.

[MDawg]

Puppets like KewlJ give me the horrors. They jerk around like puppets on invisible strings, galvanized into hideous activity that is the negation of everything living and spontaneous.

The live human being has moved out of KewlJ’s body long ago. But something moved in when the original tenant moved out. And that something, is the Norm’s, The WizardsofVegas, the RobSingers, the Taters/Moses, the MDawgs who marched into KewlJ’s head and took over like ventriloquists' dummies who have moved in and taken over the ventriloquist. The dummy KewlJ sits there in front of the computer, envious, jealous, obsessed, and uncontrollably yapping out of a rigid doll face about MDawg.

There is a certain kind of ghost that can only materialize with the aid of a sheet or other piece of cloth to give it outline. KewlJ was like that. He materialized only when someone else moved into his head and gave him a reason to appear.

[The Boz]

Of course that was before I started playing at private tables, set up a certain way.]

Obviously they can’t figure it out from his reported results.

So either you are lying about the pit crew and their supervisors being able to figure it out or MDawg is lying.

If only we had a certain “Dick” who could weigh in with the probabilities on the claims but sadly he has something in his mouth so he can’t open it and offer his opinion. No silly, not that, it’s called an NDA that must cover a lot of subjects above the things he watched in person.