Originally Posted by
mickeycrimm
Originally Posted by
kewlJ
We might as well just stop with this. It is
never going to happen. Dietz is never going to do an interview. For years now he has been talking about doing an interview with Munchkin. Now you tell us he turned Munchkin down twice privately.
Now he talks about Druffs podcast, but every time the ball seems to move on that even a little bit, Dietz throws up roadblocks, like he needs to be in Las Vegas for a phone in interview. Weird.
And when you ask him a question about something he said that don't make sense, he now says to ask him on the interview....which he knows is never going to happen. It is a big shell game.
Bottom line, he can't answer the questions and reasonable explain anything, on a forum so he sure as hell isn't going to do so on a live interview.
Red just wants to tell a story about being a great sports bettor for 40 years, the second coming of Billy Walters, when there is nothing that points to that. He did well in a few contests, which is what the touts use to get new customers/clients. Big deal. That he even has all that documentation from decades ago is weird to me. I should have realized it was weird when he sent it to Alan.
It is very similar to Mdawg wanting to tell a story.
But I am done with Red. He is coming off the rails threatening people and shit. Good luck mickeycrimm, but don't hold your breath.
It's cut and dried he's never going to appear. But that doesn't mean he's off the hook. He's confessed to being a snitch, he's also anti-kelly and doesn't understand EV. If an appearance ever happens-it won't-he should be asked about all of this.
PS: Munchkin didn't say redietz turned him down twice, rather, Munchkin twice confirmed to me that redietz turned him down to appear on GWAE.
Munchkin never directly asked me to be on the show. I don't know how you folks conduct yourselves in a media environment, but I don't beg for or request interviews. If someone wants to interview me, they must bring it up. Otherwise, I'm just having lunch and a conversation.
I think what you guys fail to grasp is that this was a three-person lunch, and I have flat out asked the third person if I ever gave the impression that I turned down an interview. He didn't hesitate. He said definitely not. If you want me to recruit him to report that here, I'm pretty sure he'd do that. So let me know.
Also in the mix was the obvious lean to having a female on GWAE as opposed to a male. So I deferred to the idea of my superior half being on the show. I said I would ask her even though it was a long shot. She will, however, take Munchkin out to dinner at some point as they share some common interests.
I think you guys are completely off the rails on your Kelly Criterion application for sports betting. Go read actual definitions of Kelly Criterion. Jesus, guys, I played hoops with the PSU math faculty/grad team for years. This stuff is basic. Application of Kelly Criterion depends on one's perception of "EV." Since rules, personnel, and coaching, and quality-of-personnel distributions change year to year, sometimes dramatically, and especially for college sports, you really should not be making hard-and-fast (i.e. semi-crystalline) projections of your personal future success based on past outcomes. It's arrogant. It's stupid. It's an intellectual overreach. Every college season is its own, often dramatically different, thing.
What you are doing is assigning a degree of precision to your process that is not merited until you have established that you know what you are doing any given year. And by then, in college football, the season is almost over and now you get to insert Nov/Dec weather (among other, more crucial considerations) into your alleged precision.
But everybody knows this. LOL. Except you guys.