Talking about baseball

[theywontpayontuesday]

Suckscockontuesdays also sucks cock on fridays.

Little dick has a small penis in Asia every day.

[theywontpayontuesday]

I wanted to bet the Brewers+160 and the Astros+120, both dogs and I was like, this is good enough for a parlay, so added the Diamondbacks (With Brandon Pfaadt pitching.) These pitchers mentioned in Druff's bets sometimes I forget are bad or good, and Pfaadt I remembered as horrible but I took the Diamondbacks over the cardinals and the over 8.5. One way or another this Diamondback game will be hard to be confident either way throughout. This parlay will be a roller coaster, hope I find it exciting. Betting on Arizona didn't seem smart, but I would have thought betting against him would fail this time. So far so good, 1-0 bottom 2nd so far with 2 outs. The problem, somehow over 8.5 runs, so hopefully just a little.

[theywontpayontuesday]

S Frelick isn't in, that's going to be a loss, they win with him leading off more. He gets on base a lot to and gets good bases, can steal.

My emotions checking into this game were fearful even after seeing the Brewers at bat and score 0-0. If you're not winning you're losing.

[theywontpayontuesday]

DB up 5-0 early. Blue Jays scored early and both teams failed to score, also failed on Blue Jays over 4.5 so it started good and got impotent. Also have ML bets on DB and Brewers. I don't feel good about Houston but both the Brewers haven't scored yet.

[theywontpayontuesday]

Ha walk off double, the DB's up 6-0, I need Pfaadt to start giving up some runs for my over if he can blow some in the top of the 7th.

[theywontpayontuesday]

All legs coming in, but Houston down 1-2 to start the bottom of the 8th. Houston at least needs to hold and rally top of 9th. Brewers need to hold 2-0 lead.

[theywontpayontuesday]

That was fun until Seattle added 5 more runs. Houston seems over-rated now for sure, from accolades to the garbage can.

[theywontpayontuesday]

For whatever reason I took 5 road teams in a 5 team parlay for today. Giants over Blue Jays, Royals over Marlins, Reds over Mets, Angels over Phillies, Padres over Nationals. $50 for $1431. Definitely bucking some trends and odds.

[theywontpayontuesday]

Those teams mostly sucked i picked. Now, the Brewers +4000 best record in baseball seems like a steal the Way everyone else is playing. Im getting $100 bonus bet because 4he angels lost with 3 jone runs, so making at least some bets in it.

[theywontpayontuesday]

Of course can't bet it until tomorrow and I doubt it h9lds up

[kewlJ]

Each of the first 2 games after the all-star break, overs hit 9 of 15. That is 18-12 for the 2 days and continues the trend of the past 4 weeks or so.

Now there is an anomaly mixed within those numbers of the past 4 weeks. For whatever reason on Sunday's overs haven't hit as well. 27-33 over the past 4 weeks. Maybe it is because almost all games are day games on Sundays (except the espn Sunday night game). Or maybe it has something to do with Sunday being a get-away day. Don't know what it is, but Sunday seems to be the one day Overs don't do as well. Take that for what it is worth.

Some of the top teams, that would be teams with lower odds to win it all, are really struggling right now.

Tigers have lost 6 in a row. Dodgers have lost 9 of last 11. Houston was 1-6 coming into the day (winning 5-4 as I type this) and the Yankees....the mighty, mighty Yankees, who did manage to win today have the worst record in the American League over the past 5 weeks. During that time, they have gone from up 7 games to trailing the BlueJays by 3 games, a 10 game swing.

It is only July. More than 2 months left. But the Yankees in particular need to show a lot more. Especially pitching. And I am not sure they have any more to show.

Now off to play blackjack and hopefully keep the winning going.

[theywontpayontuesday]

Bet $1100 on the Tigers. Idk.

Took a crazy SGP:

Detroit ML
Under 6.5
Scoreless first
Texas first to score.

Will pay $2000 for $50 if Im lucky.

Added: I wasn't. Detroit scored first.

[theywontpayontuesday]

Other parlays still in contention:
Under 4.5 hits Tarik Skubal
DETROIT -.5 first 5 innings
Under 6.5 runs

$50 pays $272

Detroit -1.5
Under 6.5
9+ Tarik Skubal Ks
Detroit first to score

$50 pays $520

[theywontpayontuesday]

Detroit won 2-1. Luckily for me they took Skubal out before there could be a 5th hit, so only won the small parlay along with the ML. The score was 1-0, 1-1, and 2-1 so I sweat out the money line the whole game. Mission accomplished and Im maxed out on the Brewers to win the World Series.

[MDawg]

The truth is … UNKewlJ hasn’t spent 20 years playing blackjack. He’s spent 20 years trying to convince people that he’s been playing blackjack.

[theywontpayontuesday]

The truth is … UNKewlJ hasn’t spent 20 years playing blackjack. He’s spent 20 years trying to convince people that he’s been playing blackjack.

What kind of disrespectful asshole are you?
Brewers odds came down from +2500 to +1800 to win the World Series and pennant from +1200 to +900. You could have made those bets instead of being worthless here.

[theywontpayontuesday]

If the Brewers win it all, Im looking at over $100,000. This would be very nice.

[kewlJ]

Approaching 100 games played. Just taking a look at standings vs odds to win the different divisions.

Cubs & Brewers tied with identical records. Cubs odds: -240. Brewer +170

Phillies a 1/2 game up on Mets. Phillies -190. Mets +125.

Toronto 3 games up on Yankees, 5 games on Boston. Yankees -110. Toronto +130. Boston + 1000

Dodgers 3.5 games ahead of Padres. Dodgers -1500. SD +750

Some of these spreads in odds compared to a couple games (in some cases tied or 1/2 game in the standings) are astonishing. Especially for 100 games in.

I already have the Phillies @ +240 (made when they were 5 games back) so if anything, I might bet the Mets if they could fall a couple games back and get to over +200. That would be a guaranteed healthy profit.

I also have Boston @ +650. The bet was made 3 days ago. They have lost 1 game in the standings since then and are now +1000. THAT is a healthy jump for losing a game in standings.

I think the Cubs win the division. But it is very tempting to take a well-rounded Brewers @ +170.

I continue to be astonished at the numbers for Yankees (3 games out) and Dodgers (-1500 with only a 3 games lead and not playing well). Almost seems like some kind of blind faith or support based on past years and reputation. These may not be the same teams that made it to the WS last year.

Baseball is a lot of fun.

[theywontpayontuesday]

The Angels are not done, but almost done. By my assumptions before, they still need to win 6 more games if other teams don't blunder before the deadline. It's possible the Mariners will be swept by the Brewers, Red Sox swept by Philadelphia and the Yankees swept by the Blue Jays. The Angels beating the Mets in this series isn't very good, but possible and not expected. I still think the Brewers are awesome future bets and Astros very good to just good right now. Their come from behind victory yesterday was the kind of win which made me love the Astros.

[theywontpayontuesday]

There is no way to think the Angels will win tonight against the Mets, but I bet them in parlays anyway. In on3 +2.5 so at least have that as an option. Really the Angels should be done by the bottom of the 3rd, but we'll see if it actually happens.