Every time your Angels get to within a game of .500, they lose, falling back. I think after this happens 4 or 5 times, it could begin to effect the players if they are aware of it and I will bet they are. It is like a hump they can't get over.
Every time your Angels get to within a game of .500, they lose, falling back. I think after this happens 4 or 5 times, it could begin to effect the players if they are aware of it and I will bet they are. It is like a hump they can't get over.
Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".
They fucked up way too many day games (10-21, yes 10/31), just inexcusable to lose this many day games. There s really only one excuse, partying late on game day and being hung over. The last day game I watched, the Angels were so pathetic. Luckily it seems the Angels led me to the Brewers and Astros, but I would want all my bets to still have weight. I really don't like your Red Sox and I love -115 Red Sox will not make the playoffs. I hope you're right, but I prefer me being right and you being wrong. I also hope I'm wrong the Angels are Avocado toast.Originally Posted by kewlJ
Really?? Interesting data. Thanks for sharing.Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesdayThey fucked up way too many day games (10-21, yes 10/31), just inexcusable to lose this many day games.Originally Posted by kewlJ
Day games. I haven't looked into it, but just my own feeling from betting overs the past month is that more overs occur at night games, which MLB classifies as 4pm start or later. It just feels like day games have more unders. One thing I can think of is there is often a period where shadows come into play. It is pretty hard on batters when pitcher is in the sunlight and batter in the shadows or vice versa. Harder to pick up the ball.
You also see both infielders and outfielders battling the sun. this actually should create MORE scoring.
In yesterdays games, all day games, I saw 5 pop ups dropped because of sun and/or wind. Not really "dropped" because players didn't even get a glove on any of the balls. Couldn't see the ball. 2 in the outfield resulting in doubled. And 3 in the infield. All three infield drops had no effect as the infield fly rule had been called in all 3 cases.
Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".
Originally Posted by MDawg
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas
Well, Detroit was the best team in baseball. Down 0-3 against the Pirates, doesn't seem like their day against Paul Skenes.
No big surprise I took Angels, Astros and Brewers tonight. 1/3 with Angels up 4-0 bottom of 4th.
Hahaha soon after posting Angels now up 4-2, still bottom of 4th.
Yeah Idk. Im just talking your word for these things as they're relatively new to me.Originally Posted by kewlJReally?? Interesting data. Thanks for sharing.Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesdayThey fucked up way too many day games (10-21, yes 10/31), just inexcusable to lose this many day games.Originally Posted by kewlJ
Day games. I haven't looked into it, but just my own feeling from betting overs the past month is that more overs occur at night games, which MLB classifies as 4pm start or later. It just feels like day games have more unders. One thing I can think of is there is often a period where shadows come into play. It is pretty hard on batters when pitcher is in the sunlight and batter in the shadows or vice versa. Harder to pick up the ball.
You also see both infielders and outfielders battling the sun. this actually should create MORE scoring.
In yesterdays games, all day games, I saw 5 pop ups dropped because of sun and/or wind. Not really "dropped" because players didn't even get a glove on any of the balls. Couldn't see the ball. 2 in the outfield resulting in doubled. And 3 in the infield. All three infield drops had no effect as the infield fly rule had been called in all 3 cases.
Wow aren't the Angels terrible making an error and allowing the winning run to score and achieve no outs.
Angels had a 5-0 lead and blew it now down 5-7 in the bottom of the eighth. All thanks to Taylor falling and not catching a basic pop fly by the wall. Absolutely pathetic I had hope, but Angels blow it too much. They could only come from behind maybe slim to none. Sad to not see them succeeding when others in the wild card race are faltering.
Last edited by theywontpayontuesday; 07-21-2025 at 06:56 PM.
Astros making it interesting surviving bases loaded with 2 outs, staying up 4-3. Coming into today, Arizona literally 50/50 after 100 games. Arizona is creeping up into 4th on team home runs.
Added: after posting, Astros bunt on 1st then HR made team score 2 to be 6-3. Im still wanting to see greatness .600s easy from them after their recent 10 game crapper. They cannot do that again.
Houston and Milwaukee are making these games look easy. Hard to give the Mets the credit winning against the Angels. The Brewers are killing the Mariners. Cal Raleigh can hurt with long ball, and up to luck if those bombs are the game or insignificant. Beat him once, no guarantee you'll beat Cal Raleigh again. Have to respect the Mariners +1000 odds of pennant. Hopefully someone else knocks them out.
Astros and Brewers did start risking things in the end of the game. Had there been different circumstances and luck, in other games Seattle and Arizona could have won. The Arizona announcer didn't like how the Astros got lucky and arizona played stupid because a very, green rookie hit 2 home runs on fastball he was looking for.
Last edited by theywontpayontuesday; 07-21-2025 at 09:41 PM.
I got scared and made small parlays Brewers and Brewers pennant parlay and Brewers Blue Jays. I miss those odds.
How stupid would I be to stop betting on Houston and Milwaukee. At this point, I should bet them every game if I already think they will continue successfully winning. I dont know how to handle it or the betting. Would I flat bet every game or vary my bets according to the odds. Will I lose money betting the Astros every game if they won a lot of games by season wins. Should I bet end of season wins to keep rolling expecting improved winning percentages.
Idk the Yankees are terrible. They will just fill holes I guess and win it all by the script. Trading probably won't be enough for them. Too much suckage going around. 3
Interesting day in baseball. Overs went a mediocre 7-6 with 2 pushes. If you threw out 2 games almost guaranteed to be under, Pittsburgh with Skenes pitching and SD at Miami, you did a little better.
I know there are only two of us talking baseball here on a daily basis, (plus the low-life Arab troll that keeps hijacking and trolling) but I hope there are a few silent players that have been reading for the last month and betting some of the overs and made some money. I think this trend will continue for another 3-4 weeks until Mid-August, barring some cold spell across most of the country.
So there are 162 games in the baseball season. So no one or two games is all that important. BUT for some of these teams teetering at .500 or a game below, as well as just outside the wild card race, the next 10 days are big and each game carries more weight than it should. Today seemed particularly bad for the Angels and Arizona. Losses they just can't afford, And the Angels blew a 5-0 lead to lose their game. BIG loss.
Milwaukee won again and looks great. actually moved ahead of the Cubs into first place. I keep saying I still think the Cubs will win the division, but they aren't hitting right now and that exposes some pitching issues that were covered up the first half of the year when they scored 6-7 runs every game. Cubs need a pitcher at the trading deadline.
I also keep refusing to believe in Toronto. I don't believe in the Yankees either which is why I took a flyer on Boston. But damn, if I am not starting to re-think the Bluejays. All they do is keep winning. Especially at home. The announcer on BIG Inning said they are 27-4 in their last 31 home games. THAT is kind of hard to believe. I will have to double check that.
I have a feeling the Yankees will be high bidder for Suarez (Arizona) at the trade deadline. But if they get swept at Toronto and don't start winning some games, it may not even matter. Well I guess they could still be a wildcard.
If you are into baseball and betting baseball, this really is a great time of year.
Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".
Originally Posted by AxelWolf
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas
I am so burned out. I've spent so much money on the Brewers and it seems wise. I've spent so much on ahouston and it seems plausible. I've spent so much on the Angels and it seems like dead money. Every possible combination along with the Brewers to win pennant aka the two world series teams. Brewer-Blue Jays, Brewers-Astros, Brewers-Mariners. No matter what the regular season does, someone will have to beat the Dodgers 4/7, albeit hopefully just once in NLDS. Im spending a lot all tied up, so much I dont even really know all my bets. At this point laying off the Astros and putting it on Brewers was a good decision. I thought +1000 Houston would last and it did, because the Astros went 3-7 or worse. All bets on the best pitching teams, and the Brewers are base thieves, always wanting more, I was impressed seeing all winners. I just dont want to bet any more money, feels like too much if Im totally wrong. If Im right, then of course never enough.
The Tigers were declared champions too early. Their last 50 games 27/50 batting .241. I bet against them to lose to Pittsburgh which will still be hard to lose the series down 1 game, needing 2. Scenes pitched yesterday all too well.
Yes look day games, and the Angels are only known for HRs to win games. You could be right about these things. The only problem is it is too obvious a weakness.Originally Posted by kewlJReally?? Interesting data. Thanks for sharing.Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesdayThey fucked up way too many day games (10-21, yes 10/31), just inexcusable to lose this many day games.Originally Posted by kewlJ
Day games. I haven't looked into it, but just my own feeling from betting overs the past month is that more overs occur at night games, which MLB classifies as 4pm start or later. It just feels like day games have more unders. One thing I can think of is there is often a period where shadows come into play. It is pretty hard on batters when pitcher is in the sunlight and batter in the shadows or vice versa. Harder to pick up the ball.
You also see both infielders and outfielders battling the sun. this actually should create MORE scoring.
In yesterdays games, all day games, I saw 5 pop ups dropped because of sun and/or wind. Not really "dropped" because players didn't even get a glove on any of the balls. Couldn't see the ball. 2 in the outfield resulting in doubled. And 3 in the infield. All three infield drops had no effect as the infield fly rule had been called in all 3 cases.
So........
Currently the Astros have the easiest schedule left in baseball at #30. The Dodgers have #28 and the Cubs #27. The Brewers had the #4 schedule, but as they have now played and swept the Dodgers twice, it's #7, primarily based on 8 games against the Cubs in regular season. Currently the Cubs have the tie breaker over the Brewers. In those final 8 games, the Brewers have to win 6 to retake the tie breaker. My current favorite bets are parlays Brewers Astros to win the pennant each. Them both being #1 seeds makes a big difference no matter the negativity about it to the point people think #1 seed at is a disadvantage. Brewers winning chant is "don't get hurt".
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