Talking about baseball

[kewlJ]

Playoff races right now.

American: Division winners: Toronto, Houston Detroit
Wildcard # 1: Yankees
Wildcard # 2: Redsox
Wildcard # 3: Seattle & Texas tied (1/2 game back of Red sox)

teams within 4 games of final WC spot: Tampa Bay (3 back), Cleveland (3.5 back), KC (4 back)

National League

Division winners: Mets, Cubs, Dodgers.

Wildcard # 1: Brewers
Wildcard # 2: Phillies
Wildcard # 3: Padres

Within 4 games of final WC: Cincinnati (1 game back surprisingly), Giants (3 games back) Cardinals (3.5 games back)

I made the cut off at 4 games back of wildcard because there is still 2 full months of regular season left, and this year more than any I remember, we have seen many teams get hot and cold and win and lose 8-10 games or 10 of 12.

At 4 games back, you have to not only win, but leapfrog in some cases 3-4 team. That is hard to do. So in my opinion anyone more than 4 games back is a seller come trading deadline (thursday). Thursdays are often light days in MLB. A travel day. But this week, extremely so with only 3 games. I think MLB knows the action thursday will take place off the feild.

[MDawg]

UNKewl one (sulking, voice rising to a falsetto whine): I'm the victim here! I'm always the victim! People are always out to get me! I knew you wouldn't understand.

[theywontpayontuesday]

I felt time for a win for Detroit in Detroit, Detroit -130. Then I tried justifying it, and I couldn't based on Detroit's pitcher that was rocked for 6 runs in Pittsburgh last series. I just dont want Arizona ever. I hate them and usually prefer their demise.


Took the Rockies +190 in Cleveland. Hopefully the Browns don't show up in Cleveland and beat them 17-3.


Im taking the Reds in Cincinnati +145. Taking the Reds seems good enough. That game seems good for an over and Ohtani HR parlay.

Lastly the Brewers -105 hosting the Cubs. The Miz stopped their winning streak and a time for winning ways to come back would be a blessing. If the Cubs are going to win the division, they cannot lose these 4 battles.

[mickeycrimm]

Sucksdickontuesdays thinks he can pick winners between dick sucks

[theywontpayontuesday]

Sucksdickontuesdays thinks he can pick winners between dick sucks

Hobo homo little dick whatever you say, but at least talk some baseball.

[theywontpayontuesday]

Can't say it enough, worried about my Astros bets. They are 4 games ahead in their division now. They were ahead by 12 over the Rangers and now it's 4. So of course I have lost faith because things didnt happen how I expected with the A's by far quite the opposite. The Astros winning the division odds have come down from -5000 and -3500 to -220 now. The talk is the Astoes will be aggressive for talent, my bank account will depend on it at this point. There are still many games left and returning players from IL will make a difference. The hard part is waiting and hoping.

[kewlJ]

Can't say it enough, worried about my Astros bets. They are 4 games ahead in their division now. They were ahead by 12 over the Rangers and now it's 4. So of course I have lost faith because things didn't happen how I expected with the A's by far quite the opposite. The Astros winning the division odds have come down from -5000 and -3500 to -220 now. The talk is the Astros will be aggressive for talent, my bank account will depend on it at this point. There are still many games left and returning players from IL will make a difference. The hard part is waiting and hoping.

The Rangers just look really good right now. Playing really good baseball. I have been betting Texas and overs including just their team totals for several days. They are currently tied with Seattle for the last wild card. I expect they will overtake Seattle and Boston for the second wildcard and possibly the Yankees for the first wild card. And as for the division, that wouldn't surprise me either.

[theywontpayontuesday]

Today was a lot better seeing them score after being down 3-0. 2 walks and possibly an intentional error by the Miz, it was so bad. Now I'm really regretting risking some free money on the 4 game day. Im back down to $100@$200 bets, but with strategy.

[theywontpayontuesday]

Now this is bipolar. Yay Brewers kicking the Cubs butts after being embarrassed in the top of the first. Poor Rhine Sandberg died, I remember his face.

[theywontpayontuesday]

I felt kind of shitty seeing the Rockies odds slip to +235 pre-game. I saw +600 w 2 men on first and second 1 out but I missed it and got a weak +280 with men on 2nd and 3rd 2 outs, survived betting against the Guardian converting and am glad seeing the Rockies up 3-0 now. I bet the Mets late -180 when 1-0 and kind of felt, it was a good bet, but impulsive with risk I have survived so far. Hopefully I haven't cursed this 🤧, jinx 😬.

[theywontpayontuesday]

Yup just checked in, 3-0 became 3-3, I see bases loaded with 0 outs. Forget + anything with this set up.

[theywontpayontuesday]

I was very happy with my day. Won nicely with added bets the Rockies would come from behind and win along with SF +1.5 +275 leading into the 9th down by 2. The Brewers kicked ass, not much to worry about. What Im worried about is not betting enough +2000 World Series before the odds adjust closer to reality. By my calculations and logic, each $100 bet on the Brewers is worth $300 right now based on Fangraphs stated odds of the Brewers winning the World Series is 14.9%. The Brewers at +2000 is assuming the Brewers have a 4.9% chance of winning the World Series. It's a great amazing bet to bet $100 now knowing the $100 is worth $300 the second you bet it. Omg EV $200.

[theywontpayontuesday]

Today I am betting Orioles(Charlie Morton) -135 versus Toronto.

rockies +195 @Cleveland
Milwaukee -120 versus Chicago

[theywontpayontuesday]

I took some bold bets on the Orioles game. Under 5.5 first 5 and (under 10.5 Orioles -1.5 & Charlie Morton 6 Ks, Orioles first to score) parlay. Doesn't look good, Morton no Ks first 7 outs.