Dan Druff's 2025 MLB picks

[Dan Druff]

Bet would have won, but it was no action due to Strider not going (from the long rain delay).

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Another day, another "Druff bets against shitty pitchers" pick.

We have Nestor Cortes -- he of the walkoff World Series HR. He wasn't totally healthy when he gave that up, and he isn't now. He didn't pitch well for Milwaukee before injuring himself, and was shipped to San Diego, and will be starting today. He pitched well in minor league rehab outings, but that's a long way from MLB. I am not convinced he will be an effective starter until I see him throwing well at the MLB level again.

But even if he does pitch well, we have Anthony DeSclafani. He hasn't pitched well in his only two starts this year (the other 7 appearances were in relief), and honestly he hasn't been good since the end of the 2021 season. He didn't pitch in MLB at all in 2024.

Both of these pitchers are forced into the rotation due to injuries/trades.

San Diego (N. Cortes) at Arizona (DeSclafani) - OVER 5 -120 - FIRST 5 INNINGS

[Dan Druff]

Lost the over above.

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Today:

Yankees (Schlittler) -113 vs Houston (H. Brown)

Cincinnati (Ch. Burns) -116 at Pittsburgh (M. Keller)

[theywontpayontuesday]

The Reds are usually underestimated as most people dont conceive their possible playoff appearance
they're working for.

[theywontpayontuesday]

The Reds are usually underestimated as most people dont conceive their possible playoff appearance
they're working for.

I doubt the Astros too. Just when I had expected an easy road ahead, Paredes was hurt and their team fell apart.

[Dan Druff]

Squarest of square unders

Pittsburgh (Skenes) at Milwaukee (F. Peralta) - Under 6.5 -115

[Dan Druff]

Lost the Pittsburgh under. Slumping a bit here.

Today:

Toronto (Bassitt) -101 vs Texas (deGrom)

[theywontpayontuesday]

Lost the Pittsburgh under. Slumping a bit here.

Today:

Toronto (Bassitt) -101 vs Texas (deGrom)

That was a very tough game I couldnt make up my mind about. I see where you're going with it though.

[Dan Druff]

Won the Toronto game (barely).

3 picks today, including 2 props:

Misiorowski o5.5 K +110


In fact I'm going to double down and bet on the game, too:

Milwaukee (Misiorowski) -115 at Cubs (Rea)



Also I'm going to bet against Rea's longevity. He's failed to go more than 15 outs in 5 of his last 6, and has been throwing a lot of pitches in general to get through each inning, despite overall decent results lately.

Colin Rea u16.5 outs -125


The two props will be considered half-bets because it's difficult to get action on these in most places.