There are so many logical problems in what you just wrote that it boggles the mind. It would take me an hour to deconstruct that post above, and frankly I won't bother to do it here.
But all that aside, you realize all you are doing is aggrandizing personal opinions by slapping some "EV" labels on them and doing some pretend expertise dance? And expecting people "outside the 'community'" -- I'm running out of apostrophes for this stuff -- to buy what you're selling because you know grade school math and use some jargon. You don't even have records of results, and if you did, you'd explain the losing by importing some "aw shucks, it was variance killed the beast." That was a line from the end of King Kong, by the way.
It's amazing you're not all flat broke, but keep with the sports betting. You'll get there.
P.S. I have to add this. You do realize that the "sports betting community" dwarfs the "AP community" by a factor of what I'll generously say is 10 but could be a hundred. And literally everybody knew about the underdog-first-two-week-NFL-schtick. So you have a perverted and inverted view of your gnostic knowledge. You were in the ignorant minority compared to the "sports betting community" when it came to this particular angle. There were likely 50,000 people who were aware of this before kewlJ ever put finger to keyboard.
The arrogance of you dudes is friggin' amazing.
Why do you think I used an anti-angle for the Heritage contest and all other similar contests the first week? Because everyone was doing what you were doing. This is not rocket science, and you guys are not Einstein.