Originally Posted by Alan Mendelson View Post
Arc just stop you whining.
After you've rolled the dice once, and looked or thought about looking, there is no longer any chance for the condition "one 2 or two 2's". Except for seeing one die showing a 2, and not seeing the other one. The specific roll - any roll, each is specific - will settle on EITHER the one 2, or the two 2's, without question of which. Quantum mechanics doesn't extend into the macro realm, in which we reside 100% of the time.

You can't roll out the chart! Especially, not before the dice. Nor stand there thinking about this before doing either to not commit yourself.
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Beyond this, intuitively, there is no rational way to equate "one 2 or two 2's (as an unknown)" and "rolls of one 2, plus rolls of two 2's (= 11)". Or's and and's aren't the same thing.