Estimating Responses to the Dice Question

[Zedd]

But would the probability people make the same mistake you are making?

Again, the original question does have ambiguity. Since it is opened to interpretation, your “it’s an English question” argument does have some grounds. But once the ambiguity is killed, the English argument is slaughtered along with it.

If you ask; “two dice are rolled until at least one shows a deuce, what is the probability that both show a deuce?”…then there are no mistakes, it is 1/11.