Originally Posted by Alan Mendelson View Post
Gee jbjb do you expect me to reveal my real reasons for what I do online?

I have nothing to sell, by the way. Heck, I don't even own this forum anymore.

But when I see people post about schemes that won't work... and this scheme about on and off play won't work... I'm going to call it out.

Now, maybe it worked for this particular guy, but for anyone else coming on this website they should see the red flags. This on/off scheme is just like a Rob Singer Special Play... sometimes it works and sometimes it doesn't.

Me? I play by the book. I don't use Special Plays, and I don't play for comps.
Alan, let's look at your last line first.

"I play the book. I don't use special plays, and I don't play for comps."

Question: How do casinos make money?

If people who "played by the book" weren't destined to lose in the long term (and even the medium term), the casinos would all be broke.

Playing by the book guarantees losses overall, unless you get ridiculously lucky and hit some gigantic jackpot.

APs seek to NOT play by the book, and turn the odds in their favor. An AP who does it correctly (and I'm not talking about pseudo-APs who don't really know what they're doing) WILL win in the long run, unless they get really unlucky.

Being an AP does NOT guarantee winning in the short term.

But let me put it this way:

If I sat down at a 102% return VP machine and played 1000 hands, while you sat at a 99% machine and played 1000 hands, there would be a reasonable chance that I might lose and you might win.

However, if each of us played these respective machines regularly, it would be almost a certainty that I would be ahead and you would be behind.

That's how mathematics works.

Mathematics actually figures into most things you encounter in every day life. Gambling is just one of them.

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However, while mathematics is rarely questioned in non-gambling venues, some people seem to deride it in the gambling world, using nonsense excuses such as "anything can happen" or "a 51% chance to win means that you're still going to lose a lot of the time".

The on/off play is something which would give the person utilizing it a very high chance to come out ahead. I don't know why you're knocking it. I have seen it at work.