Originally Posted by coach belly View Post
Are the same +EV plays always available?

For any given +EV play...where the player has a mathematical edge...if the player (or team) loses (or gets crushed) then how does this formula apply?
No. The same plays are not always available (okay, FPDW is still available, but eventually it won't). Sometimes an old play dies, other times a new play shows up.


The formula doesn't change because you lost or won in the past. How does the probability of a quarter being flipped (heads or tails) change based on the last one landing on tails? Hint: It doesn't.