Coach belly & Alan, read and re-read the following, particularly the bolded:

Originally Posted by redietz View Post
Reality is probabilistic. Practically, you can say that a person won't win the Mega-Millions. You can't say with absolute certainty he won't. Practically, I can bet that the sun will come up tomorrow. Can I say that with "absolute certainty?" No -- because we may get bonked by a meteor that will blot out the sun for hundreds of years. Or maybe one big enough to whack the earth in half.

It depends what you consider "certainty," and how you value "certainty." We could get struck by lightning as we step outside tomorrow, but almost all of us are going to step outside, anyway. If we decide to not do so out of probabilistic fear, most of our kind would consider that behavior unnecessarily risk averse and debilitating.

Technically, I wouldn't "assert with absolute certainty" that a player playing millions of hands of 95% video poker WILL lose. But I'll assert (state fact or belief forcefully and confidently) it and take my chances.