BS AP's

[mickeycrimm]

Mickey worries that Coach might be dealt some big winners and lose to that volatility.

I'm not worried about anything. I'm just not going to make a dumb bet. The chances/odds of being at breakeven or ahead is dependent on the number of times the deal button is hit. Laying 100 to 1 I would have positive expectation on 1 million deals but it would be a negative expectation bet at just 10,000 deals. Consult your favorite mathematicians.

Let's make mickey squirm even more with his own direct quote, as he tries so hard to save face, of course: "ALL I SAID WAS THAT I WOULD HAVE NO PROBLEM LAYING 100-1 AGAINST SOMEONE BEING AHEAD ON A 98% GAME AFTER ONE MILLION HANDS".

And there you have it AGAIN--clearly poor mickey, who was probably within the drunken boundaries of his alcoholism when he wrote it, stipulates ONE MILLION HANDS. Does he exclude multi-plays? Nope. Does he expect to "lay" such a bet in shitholes like the Montana bars where it would take months to complete the effort? Nope. So does he expect anyone to accept such a bet.... someone who also clarifies the whole scenario within complete reason--that a 100-play machine be used in either LV or NJ? MOST DEFINITELY, NOPE!

So where are we now? mickey is still trying to remove his foot from his big mouth. He claims he can't afford the trip. Well, he's been told all his expenses would be paid. The he claims a 100-play machine with a 98% game would give the advantage to the coach! This is so funny, and you can tell he never attended any college, let alone graduate from high school.

Here's a flash Mickey--a 98% game has the EXACT SAME ER/EV after one million hands, whether played on a million-play machine, hundred-play machine, or single-play machine. So please stop humiliating yourself, esp. in front of other anonymous, self-proclaimed "AP's". The variance you fear so much goes both ways, math expert. Neither you or coach has any advantage over the other on any machine that's used.

Wise up fool....and man up, pussy!

Did I include multi-plays? NOPE!!! Rob, you are so stupid but think you are smart. Sure, whether it's one hand or 1 million hands the ER is the same. But I wasn't talking about ER. I was talking about VARIANCE. Repeat VARIANCE. Repeat VARIANCE. Repeat VARIANCE. You, Alan, and fatbelly are nitwits. VARIANCE, ask your favorite mathematician. You idiots think VARIANCE doesn't have anything to do with it. You imbecile's never even heard of VARIANCE until I mentioned it. You numskulls don't know anything about VARIANCE, start a thread on WoV about VARIANCE. See what answers you get about VARIANCE.

If you don't think VARIANCE plays a roll then let's do this. Lay me 100 to 1 on just one hand of 7/5 Bonus Poker. If I lose the hand I will pay you $100. If I'm at breakeven or ahead after the hand you pay me $10,000. REMEMBER, YOU GUYS SAY THE NUMBER OF HANDS DON'T MATTER. I just made a proposition to you, Alan and Belly. Now maybe you nin-com-poop assholes might start thinking about VARIANCE before you make a bet.

If you don't take the bet....YER YELLUH!!!!