[QUOTE=Alan Mendelson;49904]
Originally Posted by Alan Mendelson View Post
Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
The chances/odds of being at breakeven or ahead is dependent on the number of times the deal button is hit.
Mickey has said it. He's afraid of the variance. End of story.
Alan, fear has nothing to do with it. Ask any AP if he would lay 100 to 1 against a 1 in 40 shot. All of them will say no. I wouldn't even lay 39 to 1 against a 1 in 40 shot. The advantage in that situation starts at 38 to 1. But I would never give belly that close of a gamble.