Hopefully some of you got in that Detroit pick, as it won (albeit barely, thanks to 9th inning drama).
Here is a night game, in the same vein of the blowout Padres pick yesterday which lost:
at San Diego (T. Ross) +107 vs. St. Louis (Wacha)
Hopefully some of you got in that Detroit pick, as it won (albeit barely, thanks to 9th inning drama).
Here is a night game, in the same vein of the blowout Padres pick yesterday which lost:
at San Diego (T. Ross) +107 vs. St. Louis (Wacha)
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No picks today.
Through 5/10: 43-39-2, +5.721 units
5/11:
Milwaukee (Woodruff) at Colorado - Under 11.5 -110 LOST -1
at San Diego (Lauer) +127 vs. St. Louis (L. Weaver) - LOST -1
Total 5/11: 0-2, -2.0 units
5/12:
**GAME 1** at Detroit (Boyd) +134 vs. Seattle (M. Gonzalez) - WON +1.340
at San Diego (T. Ross) +107 vs. St. Louis (Wacha) - WON +1.070
Total 5/12: 2-0, +2.410 units
5/13:
NONE
TOTAL 5/11-5/1: 2-2, +0.410
GRAND TOTAL: 45-41. +6.131 units
Overs: 2-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 27-21-2
Sides: 14-16
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Nothing on the early MLB games.
Might go with the Angels under tonight (starting after 7pm PDT), but right now I'm still examining it.
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Probably gonna skip the Angels under tonight, again probably leaving me with no picks today.
Will be the first time in 2018 since I started betting this MLB season that I am going 2 days in a row with no picks.
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Early MLB game:
at San Diego (Lyles) -104 vs. Colorado (G. Marquez)
Rockies have a thin lineup, missing LeMahieu (DL) and Blackmon (rest).
Lyles is off to a surprisingly good start this year (mostly in relief, but he's traditionally a starter), and will be facing his former team.
Marquez has bad numbers, but has actually performed well on the road, as is sometimes the case for Rockies pitchers. (I'm mentioning this because betting against him here isn't the no-brainer you might think it is.) Still, I believe this will be a Padres win.
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I'll throw this pick in, too, even though I hate paying this price for a totals pick.
Colorado/SD (see above post for details) - under 7.5 -125
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Record keeping:
at San Diego (Lyles) -104 vs. Colorado (G. Marquez) - WON +0.962 units
San Diego/Colorado - Under 7.5 -125 - WON +0.800 units
TOTAL 5/15: 2-0, +1.762 units
GRAND TOTAL: 47-41-2, +7.893 units
Overs: 2-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 28-21-2
Sides: 15-16 (winning record in units)
For those wondering, my MLB record so far is equivalent to hitting about 57% of -110 NBA spread games.
So it's going pretty well after 90 picks. I've made a few adjustments already, which is part of the reason you're seeing fewer picks per day recently.
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Several early MLB games today.
Here's one starting at 10:10am PDT.
Cleveland (Bauer) at Detroit (Carpenter) - Under 9 -120
May have another around noon.
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Was considering the Texas under, but decided against it.
No more picks until perhaps the later (4pm PDT) games, which I'll revisit after 3pm.
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Should have taken Texas under, as that covered.
But so did the Cleveland under, making it my 5th win in a row.
Record keeping:
Cleveland (Bauer) at Detroit (Carpenter) - Under 9 -120 - WON +0.833
GRAND TOTAL: 48-41-2, +8.726 units
Overs: 2-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 29-21-2
Sides: 15-16 (winning record in units)
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Only one pick tonight, and it's a night game.
Colorado (Bettis) +127 at San Francisco (Samardzija)
Bettis gave up 7 ER last time out, but look more closely. In his 5 road starts this year (i.e. away from Coors), he has give up 0-2 ER each time, and looked great. Two of his three home starts have been bad.
Samardzija has been bad all around, and has been bombed in 3 of his 5 starts this year, holding an ERA near 7 and a bad WHIP as well.
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Rockies win in 12!
Record keeping:
Colorado (Bettis) +127 at San Francisco (Samardzija) - WON +1.270
GRAND TOTAL: 49-41-2, +9.996 units
Overs: 2-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 29-21-2
Sides: 16-16 (winning record in units)
I'm now a hair under 10 units in the black, a season-high. My last loss was 6 days ago on Friday, when I went 0-2.
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Good stuff, Dan.
I'm sure I've asked this before, or at least I've thought of asking it - sorry if I'm repeating myself or you've answered this already....but do you bet ACTION vs ACTION, PITCHER vs PITCHER, or something else? I don't check often enough to verify how likely/unlikely it is for the listed starter to not start. I've just always bet A vs A, but now that I think of it, it probably makes the most sense to bet P vs P, since (I'd imagine?) a large part of what makes the lines is who the starting pitchers are.
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No picks yet.
Looking at:
St. Louis moneyline
KC moneyline
Tampa Bay under
I'll be back in about 4 hours with this.
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My win streak is likely over today, as I have 4 picks, including 2 fairly big dogs.
3 starting very soon:
at Kansas City (Junis) +171 vs. Yankees (Sabathia)
Kansas City/Yankees - Under 9 +105
Cleveland (Clevinger) +152 at Houston (Morton)
And one later:
Colorado (Freeland) at San Francisco (Holland) - Under 8.5 -120
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I took a fair amount of doggos today and so far looking good.
Yeah took 2 of the early 3, and SF under looking fairly good right now.
I was going to also do Cardinals -115 but my friend talked me out of it. Of course they're up 5-0.
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Lost my first game in a week today, but I'm still 9-1 since May 12.
at Kansas City (Junis) +171 vs. Yankees (Sabathia) - WON +1.710
Kansas City/Yankees - Under 9 +105 - WON +1.050
Cleveland (Clevinger) +152 at Houston (Morton) - LOST -1
Colorado (Freeland) at San Francisco (Holland) - Under 8.5 -120 - WON +0.833
Total 5/18: 3-1, +2.593 units
GRAND TOTAL: 52-42-2, +12.589 units
Overs: 2-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 31-21-2
Sides: 17-17 (winning record in units)
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Excellent job, Dan. It's very difficult to beat a "window" sport. You're being selective, but firing at different kinds of plays. Very impressive.
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